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KaW Headwarmer goes for around 5 buds, and TW is usually valued above that of KaW, so I reckon it should be a wee bit higher than Ka.
The large range is because ive seen people on tf2outpost with B/O's of 7: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16637562
You need 2 sales for new unusuals.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/3306-new-rule-regarding-unusual-suggestions-two-sales-rule/
You need proof with successful sales