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Accidentally made the mistake of selling it for backpack.tf price. I had an add from the classifieds before I could even get to Outpost and list it there, too.
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16798452 2 keys and 1 reclaimed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16791366 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16446257 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16445027 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16359470 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16840879 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16757397 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16791302 2 keys
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16842617 2 keys
- added within 30 minutes of posting
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16526683 3 keys
- Vulpes and Dandy both willing
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16460754 3 keys
- Innocent Civilian offering 2.5 keys
- Saucisson offering 2 keys and 4 refined
- Vulpes willing to do 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9805354 3 keys
- Zmx offering 2 keys and 5 refined
- Vulpes willing to do 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15108248 Looking for offers
- DDS offering 2 keys and 1 refined
- Axl Bovine Soup offering 2 keys and 2.55 refined
- Diswhoo offering 3 keys
Conclusion: Not much to go off of here since these are all the open trades on Outpost. Two quicksells from someone following backpack.tf price shouldn't count as being including in-range. Seems plenty of people are willing to pay 3 keys that aren't trying to haggle in the comments section, so I'm going to make the price 3 keys flat.
PS: the one in the classifieds is also sold, and the most active trade on bazaar,3 days unbumped, wants 3 keys followed by a 2 weeks unbumped trade asking for 2 keys, but has none in stock.
You did your research, good proofs sir. Quite a jump I would say.
Also, when you see many buying trades willing to pay bp.tf at outpost. You know something is up...
~
Rising the gear up.
No!
Oh ok, I suppose.
I started looking last night for one and put up a trade. No bites yet, but I didn't specify how much I was willing to pay.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16823843