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Merry Christmas!
Sold for a misti skull fez ( 4.3 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16350419
Sold for a stormy headsplitter ( 5.3 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16373023
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16385689
Sold + 2 keys in items for an arcana waxxy ( 4.5 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16385332
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16669595
Sold for miami inspecteur ( 7 ) OUTLIER
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15556915
Way better range than the other suggestion. Upvoted
Sold for a Scorching Flames Larrikin Robin + Burning Flames Sober Stuntman (7.6 - 8.7)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16858773
First of all it's 7.8, second the robin is dupe. so can't be used as proof. The previous owner had a B/O of 7 buds, so you pretty much overpayed.
4.5 To 5.5 Is a Better Price I Think :3
I bouche it for the arcana waxy an added 1 bud in items so i think 5,5 to 6,5 could be a good PRICE ?
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/4350-new-rule-use-original-suggested-values-of-unusuals/
Arcana waxxy is 6.5-7: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Waxy%20Wayfinder/Tradable/Craftable/73
The person who bought it claims to have added 1 bud in items, not 2 keys (or did you mean 2 buds?) Either way, that sale comes to probably 5.5 buds
Stormy headsplitter is 5.5-6.3: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Horrific%20Headsplitter/Tradable/Craftable/29
Yellow belt was offered on headsplitter, so no overpay should be applied. Comes out to be 5.9
Misty skull fez is 3.9-4.4: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Familiar%20Fez/Tradable/Craftable/44
Yellow belt offered on fez, so no overpay again. ~4.2
Miami l'inspecteur is 2.8-3.8, add 4 buds and you get 6.8
Your prices are off... with this, it looks like the fez is an outlier while the others are much higher