Suggestion: Cloudy Moon Noble Amassment of Hats at 163.01–177.18 keys

Price Suggestion

~375 keys

moon

104 votes up

23 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 06 Jan 14 05:49:04 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Counter-suggestion with preferred overpay: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52c6fafe4cd7b8dd7e8b45ee -

Original values of unusuals used and overpay applied when necessary. Buds and keys at what they were time of sale

Proof #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16607071 - Buds at 17 keys

Sold for a PE Noble Assessment (~4.8) + P.Fetti Blokes (~0.9) + 1 bud + Bills (~0.4)

Total: ~7.4 buds

Proof #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14646436

Sold for a GE Noble Assessment (~4.5) + 3 buds

Total: ~7.5 buds

Proof #3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16680574

Sold for DBD Noble Assessment (~5.5) + 1 bud + 6 keys (~0.3) + sweets

Total: ~6.9 buds

Proof #4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16419156

Sold for a Burning Stuntman (~4.5) + Bubbling Tree (~1.2) + Misty Skull Bird Cage (~2.7)

Total: ~8.4 buds - Looks like an outlier to me

Proof #5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13914355

"Quicksold" for 7.5 buds. Maybe a little less. Took 4 months to sell

Proof #6-7

http://i.imgur.com/Hugvlom.png?1

Bought for 7 buds + ~0.5 buds in sweets ~7.5 buds

Sold for PE Towering (~6.3) + Bubbling Grimm (~1) ~7.3 buds

Conclusion

Oh my god that was a lot of sales. To sum it up, 3 sales at 7.5 buds, one sale at 7.3, one at 7.4, another at 6.9 and, what I believe to be an outlier, at 8.4. Many, many sales. As you can see, it is definitely possible to get this at less than 8.5, so why should it be in range? Going to the "Quicksell" at 7.5, he wasn't able to sell it for 4 months. Even then, he might have sold it lower than 7.5. That's not a quicksell. Also, grimdercell, please use avg. original price * 0.9. I used to do low-ends, but it's not a very good way to calculate unusual overpay, which is what I do here. Just a suggestion. Anyway, in the end, Many sales at ~7-7.5 and an Outlier at 8.4. Any Extra Proof/Cunter-Proof/Opinions/Tips/Help is all welcome. Thanks for reading. Feedback is always appreciated.

Noble Amassment*. Also, I agree that the 8.4 is an outlier, as there are no other sales near it. Upvote.

I like Assessment better, though in context doesn't make much sense. Appreciate the support.

Being a noble amassment collector, I've always wondered, why do people like to call it noble assessment?

Google spell checker...derp. Also, Assessment is like a gathering to me, so hence, a gathering of hats

I don't even know how you can consider the sale of 8.4 to be an outlier when its totally normal to have a range difference of one bud or so (for example: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/527f4f4b4cd7b846028b456b). Your lower end is way too low since you counted the DBD sale to be 6.9 when there is a solid pure sale of 7.5 buds.

While you claim your method of counting overpay to be more effective. You seem to neglect the fact that if the current buds suggestion gets accepted, it will make this range of yours to be even more inaccurate, which is also the reason why I used low ends for all my unusual suggestions.

Your new range also killed off more than 1 bud from the previous range of 8-8.6 which was just set 3 months ago. Not saying that there's a problem, I just don't see why the 8.4 sale should be counted as an outlier.

6 sales at 7-7.5

1 sale at 8.4

Outlier.

in the first place, the sale didn't even occur at 7. Its your so-called preferred method of calculating overpay which you then claim the sale to be at 7-7.5.

Also, don't claim that calculating overpay using the lower end is a good method. I asked Mr.Bucket, he said there is no correct method, so I don't see how your way is accurate as well.

Let it go. The mods will decide which is most accurate. I don't need you to criticize me for doing a calculation.

kthxbai

Suit yourself. But from someone who replies in an immature manner and unwilling to accept criticism, I don't need you to tell me which method of calculation is more accurate either.

So much for "Any Extra Proof/Cunter-Proof/Opinions/Tips/Help is all welcome. Thanks for reading. Feedback is always appreciated". Such irony.