Original price: 7-9 [2 months old]

All offered unusuals are valued at 0.9 * original mid value or original low end, whichever is lower.

Sales:

#1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15623791 - Dead Presidents El Jefe <> Cloud 9 Troublemaker's Tossle Cap + Big Kill [6.3]

#2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2076271896,539,5 <> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2023555312,30123,5 - Dead Presidents El Jefe <> Miami Nights Harmburg [5.8]

#3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16270570 - Dead Presidents El Jefe <> Sunbeams Flipped Trilby + Team Spirit Level 83 Max's Severed Head [6.8 total]

#4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15840258 - Dead Presidents El Jefe <> Flaming Lantern Towering Pillar of Hats [6.3]

#5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2143592639,539,5 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2234363086,323,5 <> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2127360768,315,5 - Dead Presidents El Jefe + Scorching German Gonzila (4) + sweets (looks like Specialized Killstreak Scattergun w/ parts + V. Luger + G. Three-Rune Blade at least, which is ~0.5 buds+) <> Green Energy Blighted Beak (9.8) [<=5.3 total]

I'm calling this sale an outlier due to the fact that there are 2 sales at 6.3 making the 'correct' value closer to that. Plus I don't know how to value the Scattergun in that trade. Removing it from the range gives a nice and even 6.3 +/- 0.5 bud range.

Total sales: 5.3, 5.8, 6.3, 6.3, 6.8

There was also a sale for a duped Stormy Storm Team Captain (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15858927) that I'm unsure how to value. It would be 5.9 if not duped, and I don't know whether or not duping matters significantly on hats of that value.