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ERMAGURD SCURCH FLUMS DIS B WURF 200 BIDZ!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16788781 - Sold for a Cauldron Bubbles Tyrant's Helm (~4.8)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16217077 - Sold for a Gifted Sunbeams Chieftain (~3.7)
Chieftain;
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16831700 - Sold for 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16753274 - Sold for a Scorching Sultan
(4-4.2)
Unpriced sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15763112 - Sold for a Planets Phantom + Cloud 9 Base Metal Billycock + Sunbeams Mullet (~billy is unpriced)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15612136 - Sold for Disco Beatdown Hottie's Hoodie + 2 buds pure (~hoodie is unpriced)
Can't price this based off of sales for gifted unusuals.
Found sales for it so it seems perfectly fine.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16753274 - this was actually a scorched sultan + chieftain for the TW phantom
But the 4 buds sale is fine, so chieftain value at 3.7 is not unreasonable.
The issue is that it wasn't 1:1 with the chieftain: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16340584 - 5-6 keys in sweets were added
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16416886 - there are a lot of decent offers here as well. granted it's in a set, but the set only adds 5 keys in value
Low end is off and the high end might need a bit more digging into as well