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Resuggesting
1 year old price, totally off.
5 in the market, 3 is duped. Only two clean ones, and one hasn't been traded for a long time.
Sold for a 13th hour kabuto (12.24) + 13 keys (0.8) ~ 13 buds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15494713
Sold for 4 buds + purple energy honchos (4.9) + S.F. Rocket Launcher (2.1, Dec 3rd price) + S.F. Medigun (2.2) ~ 13.2 buds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15792775 - mercato initially gave a different offer, but changed later on
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043478202?time=1385971200 - before
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043478202?time=1386057600 - after
Sold together with DBD Stahlhelm (no price) + anti freeze brigade + sulphorous phantom + burning crown for a GE Killer Exclusive. - excluding this sale as there's no price for the DBD Stahlhelm:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16712009
Quicksold for 9 buds (sold in less than 5 days, seller is quickselling everything) ~ outlier:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16821011
duped:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15704506
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16627308
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16987518
I think this is quite a good suggestion.
Value of duped versions doesn't seem to be very different than non-duped ones.
Duped ones usually go for ~11-12. I've owned that duped one before and know it's market.
Honestly, I've seen the clean one with a b/o of 12 as well, but that was a few months back and I can't find a sale at 12. But the clean one is typically 12-13.