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Unusual Bubbling Charmer's Chapeau
Notes: Price was last updated 3 months ago.
Sale #1:
Sold for 19 Mann Co. Supply Crate Keys ([AOA]COL TooFarBeyond|S>UNUSUAL) -> Bubbling Charmer's Chapeau ([T.I.] John N. Connor)
Proof:
Before Charmer's: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047682045?time=1388995200 After Charmer's: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047682045?time=1389081600
Conclusion: Sold for 19 Mann Co. Supply Crate Keys.
Sale #2:
Sold for 1 Earbuds + 2 Mann Co. Supply Crate Keys (HEFFE!) -> Bubbling Charmer's Chapeau (-IFF- The Gentleman)
Proof:
Before trade: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198046462828?time=1388476800
After trade: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198046462828?time=1388649600
http://backpack.tf/item/236715903 - Earbuds
http://backpack.tf/item/2236841447 - Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
http://backpack.tf/item/2236841435 - Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Conclusion: Sold for 1 Earbuds + 2 Mann Co. Supply Crate Keys.
SELLING (unsold):
red text - unsold for (time)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16528814 - buyout null | 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12727420 - buyout 1.7 | 5 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11776446 - buyout 1.8 | 6 months
CONCLUSION:
Has trouble selling. Hat is commonly sold for 1 Earbuds/the equivalent in keys. Every offer that looks good has either been retracted or the offerer didn't have what they were offering in their inventory.Anything above a bud hasn't sold for up to half a year.
version 2.0: changed range; woifi says 19-21 Mann Co. Supply Crate Keys is the best range for this.
Nice proof
UP+
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16533513 - sold for steaming nappers (1.1-1.3) + sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058910 - sold for bud + 9 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16942160 - easily offers of 1+ bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16528814 - sold for g.fetti ten gallon (1.2-1.6, old price though), and the charmers was duped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11776446 - offered 25 keys, bud + s.f.black box
First link - buyer of first link has 0 offers. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17027438
Second link - two months ago.
Third link - 1st offer retracted, 2nd offer retracted, 3rd offer bought something else (and it's not even a bud), 4th offer is the person who did Sale #1, 5th offer is probably what the OP should take, but with overpay, it's barely over a bud.
Fourth link - duped charmers; invalid.
Fifth link - 25 keys said he'll buy something else and retracted on another trade a long time ago, strange festive blackbox is only 5 keys, so it still fits the range.
First link, what the buyer has been offered isn't of concern. Second link was created 2 months ago, but only sold recently. Third link had such offers, which means 1 bud is probably a good low end. Fourth link is duped, but if it gets offers around the same range as clean, it can be considered. Fifth link, earbuds are 19-20 keys, add 5 keys and you get ~24 keys, which is ~1,.2 buds
There are 19 key, 1 bud + 2 key sales for a reason. The owners were glad to get rid of this hat. As you can see, a lot of them have been unsold for literally more than half a year. And the price isn't even that high. This hat quite obviously does not have a lot of demand, and when it does, the owners are glad when they get rid of it for a bud, or a little more. I'm 100% certain that sale #2 had issues getting 2 more keys added as sweets, and the person most likely originally offered an Earbuds straight, or an Earbuds and a key.
Agree with shen. Sales higher than the suggested range cannot be ignored here. 2 sales are simply not enough for such a commonly traded hat. If you are convinced that this should be the range, find some more sales and feel free to resuggest.
Also, please have a look at our new unusual suggestion guidelines if you haven't already: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet-full-guide-soon-to-follow/