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Three months ago I made a suggestion of this hat.
Back then I bought the only one on the market:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14905480[/url] - Sold for 40 keys > [url]http://i40.tinypic.com/2w705ko.jpg[/url]
More sales:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16997886[/url] ~2 buds
iEatBabyLegs #quickselling: i sold it for about 2
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17038687[/url] 2 buds
buds weren't 20 keys on 9th oct (18 keys) and it's too old to use becaue it's older than 2 months: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet-full-guide-soon-to-follow/
It sold with a moon phantom for a dbd brainiac, not for 2 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16825302 - sold for a stormy samur-eye and 8 tods
I didn't include the sale three months ago.
But this is what he said to me:
"iEatBabyLegs #quickselling: wnad with the phantom being around 10, and the brain being around 13ish, i sold it for about 2"
And we use the site prices, not some random values traders come up with. And the brainiac is not priced so that sale does not help for setting a range here.
Your first link is too old to use
Your second link of 2 buds was involved in the trade for the dbd brainiac which is unpriced. It also doesn't make sense to price a 2 buds hat based on a trade for a 15 buds hat.
Your third link seems to have sold 1:1 for a hearts handle - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198036733625?time=1389081600
Another link provided by Woifi shows a sale involving the stormy sam
Handle is closer to 1.2 after overpay and sam is closer to 1.8. Not enough here for the suggested range