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First suggestion for this unusual. 7 in the world. 4 on sale on outpost.
Here are the sales / offers I found :
Sold for 24 keys + pink Ebenezer ~ 1.4 buds :
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16800584[/url]
Selling for 1.5 buds (but probably sharked with an offer of Peace Bloke's Bucket according to his bp after the sale [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198082742291?time=1388995200[/url]) :
[url]http://www.trade.tf/trade/507374271[/url]
Offer of Phosphorous Geisha ( 1.75*0.9 ~ 1.6 buds) declined here :
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16966266[/url]
Offer of a Phosphorous Mullet (2.35*0.9 ~ 2 buds) accepted by the seller (they seem to have issues for adding each other):
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17048581[/url]
First link looks good.
Before trade: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198052945855?time=1388476800
After trade:: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198052945855?time=1388563200
Difference: -25(?) Mann Co. Supply Crate Keys -Pink Ebenezer +Kill-a-Watt Bolted Birdcage
Second link looks to have sold for a Peace Sign Bloke's Bucket Helm. Not good.
Before trade: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198082742291?time=1388908800
After trade: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198082742291?time=1388995200
Difference: -Unusual Kill-a-Watt Bolted Birdcage +Unusual Peace Sign Bloke's Bucket Helm
Conclusion: proof of 1.5 buds?
Third link - sale never happened, invalid. (mullet)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198074111820
Not bad for a first suggestion, but you only have enough proof for the low-end, and you'd need more sales.
Yep I thought the 2nd was sharked (so I can put it as an outlier)
For the "third link" which is actually my 4th (I edited the links before you commented), the guys in comments were agree on a deal (they seem to have problems of adding each other), this can't be considered as sold?
(you edited in the Geisha after I posted my reply.)
I don't think so, because I myself have gotten to an agreement on outpost, adding the user, trading them, and then they cancel right before pressing "MAKE TRADE".
However, that is up for the moderators to decide.
EDIT: I only think so because this happened 23 hours ago. They had plenty of time to add each other and fix whatever issue.
Geisha is outdated, can't be used as proof.
Same with the peace sign bucket.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet-full-guide-soon-to-follow/
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Geisha%20Boy/Tradable/Craftable/63 - 4 months ago, almost 5. Not 1 week.
K thanks, I thought the offer and not the price was outdated... Shame on me (Still learning ;) )