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Has one in bp instant downvoteOffers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17070715 - 1 bud + 1 key (denied)
Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15511979 - Sold for searing plasma prancer's pride + 3 keys (21-26) - including keys (month ago buds were 17 - 17.5) http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Earbuds/Tradable/Craftable/0 this sale 1.3 buds.
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/148921 - bought mine for buds + key + v.tower pillar of hats. - this sale 1.1 buds
Searing Prancer's price is outdated, so not valid proof.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16476609
sold for blizz guad plus 4-4.5 keys in sweets, but the guad is outdated also.
wasn't 4-4.5 in sweets. was closer to 8 keys at the time. though since then prices have dropped since about 1/2 were winter items
Ah sorry, read that wrong. Either way, can't use the guad.
Even if you did count the sale including the oudated searing plasma prancer's pride, that comes out to be ~21 keys after overpay applied, and the sale where you bought yours obviously comes out to be ~22 keys, which is also within current range. Proof doesn't support new range, imo.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16476609 - blizz guad + ~4-5ish in sweets ~1.3
Both the guad and searing pride have 4 month old prices and really shouldn't be used. But taking the proof in its entirety, I think the suggested price is better than the current one. It's probably close.