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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14763263 sold 3 (outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16734075 sold nuts phantom + 5 keys (~1.7)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17024672 added sweets with a fetti fuka
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16647744 1:2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16976808 was offered,
gifted bonk sold here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15334343 for ~5.4 with no overpay. 7.2-4.9 = 2.3
Just a heads up, that g fetti Team Captain was duped. I don't think you can price it the same as a clean one in that case, making the higher end harder to calculate.
Another thing. If I am not mistaken, I believe that Magmamem paid less than ~5.4(and in pure) for the dead prez bonk boy. Being a lot more recent of a sale, I believe whatever he paid should be accounted for(making your job a bit harder, sadly). I have sent him a message to comment here with how much he paid whenever he comes online.
Sold mine for 42 keys + a bill's hat