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2 month old price, clean only.
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17091741[/url] - Sold for Burning Pickel + Beams Glove (10.5 buds)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16981104[/url] - Sold + 5 buds for Beams Buto and set (putting it at 10.1 buds - offered on, no overpay)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10459060[/url] - Sold for Burning Ten-Gal + 0.8 buds (9.8 buds)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16678217[/url] - Sold for Beams Lucky + TW Brigade (9.7 buds)
Pickel and gloves price are too old to use, Same for the buto and lucky.
So your only valid proof is the 9.8 bud sale.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17260832 - qs? for 8.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17219270 - sells for 9
Just saying, the one with a B/O of 9 has an offer of 139 keys, SF Sticky and SF Grenade
Considering Buds are 19.5 (19 - 20), SF's are ~1.5 and 139 keys are ~7.1
Which means he has an offer of ~8.6 in 1 day, so the 8.5 is obviously quickselling
And it also indicates it needs a bump, I know that the original price is 8 - 9, but if someone has a mostly pure offer of 8.6 in 1 day, it worths more, and he does have a valid sale at 9.8, which also indicates a bump is needed
He bought this duped one with his offer: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16911454
That was just good timing to put his trade up.
Perhaps, but if a duped just sold for 8.6 mostly pure, wouldn't the hat worth more? considering it's supposed to be a price made from clean sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16369887 - unsold for 8 buds for a month. I think the guy who bought the other one was not aware that it is duped.~
I don't feel like the buyer's IQ can be introduced as yet another factor in the pricing process.
That being said, I feel like a rise is needed, but not of the magnitude revenue suggests (i.e - I only valued my pickel + glove at ~8)
Sometimes the buyers experience should also be considered. Just think of some unboxers who undersell their unusuals most of the time.
Yes I'm trying to figure out a better range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16711794 - BO 10 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17219270 - BO 9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16369887 - duped, BO of 8
The one selling for 8.5 appears to have sold, so it is probably a quicksell. However, like woifi said, your first two links can't be used because the prices are too old. In any case, 10.5 is too high with 2 BOs under it.