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Outdated. Needs an update.
[proof below]
Proof 1.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16660385
Sold for Big Kill?
Outlier.
Proof 2.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16477326
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16841504
Bought for a S. Huntsman + SF Amby.
7 + 6 keys = 13 keys.
Proof 3.
http://i.imgur.com/AYLmR3O.png
http://i.imgur.com/9A5qjJh.png
Bought for 14 keys.
Proof 4.
http://i.imgur.com/GlE7HcX.png
http://i.imgur.com/HOSFLM7.png
Sold for a bud and I added 3 keys.
Buds are 19-20, 19.5 is the average. Rounded up thats 20 (besides 19 is a quicksell :P).
20-3 = 17 keys.
Additional stuff:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15013618
Sold for a bud.
Buds were 16 keys back then. 16 is in my suggestion range but the sale is too old to use as proof.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17122519
Still got no offer after 6 days.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16366812
Highest offer was a O. fire Ze Goggles. Which would be ~18 keys after overpay. He didn't got any other offer in more than a months.
------
My sales are 13,14 and 17. I dont think 17 is an outlier since it still took me a week to sell.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17097610
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14721899
Sold for a bud (17-18 at the time)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17213653
Bought mine for 14 keys as QS
Sold mine for 18 Keys
13 and 14 seem a little low to me. I sold mine pretty easy for 18. Going to stay neutral for now.