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[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15475434[/url] - Sold for Scorching Bicorne + Stovepipe (15 buds)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16005365[/url] - Sold for Vivid Bubble, Sam and Fedora, Steaming Jefe, Orb. Fire Bonk, BMOC and Orb. Fire Robo-Grimme ( 19.7 buds - no overpay, was offered on, outlier)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15792562[/url] - Sold for Beams CM (14.6 buds - no overpay, offered on)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16981163[/url] - Bought + Scorch Gatsby for Burning FFF + 1 bud (14.8 buds)
Perhaps too low?
Sale #4:
Took few hours only, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16905678
It took 23 hours to be exact, and it seems as if the Burning FFF was offered on, which makes the sale even lower, seems like a quicksale to me
Also, Burning FFF price is 4 months old and Scorching Gatsby is 8, a bit invalid sale in my opinion
Sale #3:
It didn't take no time
However, Beams CM price is 7 months (your price btw), kinda invalid...
Also if you look at the trade itself, it had an offer (2 months ago) of Secret Honcho + 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15413617 - Look at last offer made by Barsh
Secret Honcho price is 9 months old, which is invalid but if we can use 7 months old price I think 9 is also ok, so by that logic the offer (which he should've taken) is ~16.2 (Honcho's price is 15 - 16.5, or ~14.2 after overpay)
He had offer higher than sale and the sale is for an outdated hat
Current trade (up for a week): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16981163
It seems to have an offer of 15 pure (retracted, bought Burning Hallmark for 12, could've taken it though, he was thinking)
It has another offer of Scorching Tyrant + Clean Max + Blizzard Conquistador
Scorching Tyrant original price is 12 - 15, ~12.2 after overpay
Clean Max is 2.3 - 2.5? ( http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52d6a2154cd7b85a768b4569 ) I'll consider it 2.3 (current price is 2.2 - 2.3, seems closest to both prices)
Blizzard Conquistador original price is 1 - 1.3, ~1 after overpay
Total Offer: ~15.5
Has an offer of Miami Shaman?
If it does that's an obvious outlier and the offer is ~20.8 (original price is 22.5 - 23.6)
Your low sales seems kinda invalid, outdated, 1 had a better offer, 1 sold very fast
The 19.7 is an obvious outlier, and the B/O was 17 anyways but the current trade got a very recent offer which exceeds the high end and maybe had an offer of ~20.8
All offers on the current trade are declined, except for the 15 pure which he was considering
I'm just thinking perhaps it's a little bit too low and that maybe something like 15 - 15.5 is a bit better