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Updating a 5 month old price; unusual overpay calculated through originally suggested values’ midpoint multiplied by 0.9.
Sale 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17120603 Sold alongside Burning Flames Ol’ Snaggletooth for Disco Beat Down Dapper’s Topper (5.2-3.9 = ~1.3 buds)
Sale 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16066889 Sold for Smoking Luchadore (~1.3 buds)
Out of all the hats with this effect in existence, I could not find any other sales within the last 2 months that are confirmable. If I have missed any, please feel free to point it out, as it would prove most helpful.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17390444 - 1? quicksell?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17323727 - lvl 1 max + mancer for burning dixie; dixie was offered ~1.2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15993197 - 1.7ish - outlier
Well, I'd be fine calling the sales at 1 and 1.7 outliers. Range of 1.2-1.3 might be about right, but this is close