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~871 keys
harvest
Unusual Fancy Fedora Harvest Moon
101 votes up
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3 Month Old Price

My spacebar is broken, so tell me if any of my links are broken

Sales: Added a Beams Milkman and Beams Jeepcap for an Eerie Crone's ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16199362 ) (21.5-4.5-6.4=10.6)


7+Planets Cockswain's+Planets Big Country+V. Luger+5 Keys in Paints+4 Keys ( http://backpack.tf/id/76561198049844846?time=1387612800 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198049844846?time=1387699200 ) (7+1+0.7+0.8=9.5)


Kill-a Bomber+1 ( http://backpack.tf/id/76561198007932426?time=1387612800 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198007932426?time=1387699200 ) (13.5) (outlier)


Added a Misty Chief and Ghosts Marauder and 0.2 for a V. Bud ( http://backpack.tf/id/76561198007932426?time=1386921600 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198007932426?time=1387008000 )

(not even gonna math, its an outlier)

    Hmm. Here are my thoughts on the matter:


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16374667 - kaw bomber + 1 was overpay for the b/o of 12, so this wouldn't be valued above the b/o.


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16169531 - true quicksell at 8 pure


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15405734 - this offer is probably the outlier for the high end - arcana rifle + sulph hwnn + Ge phantom - easily 12+ maybe 14-15 conservatively?


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15577924 - willing to do 10 in cash


    So overall sales at 8, 9.5, 10.6, 12, 15 - there's a willing seller at 10


    I'd say 8 and 15 are outliers and would be more in favor of a range of 9.5-12. I just can't see 12 as an outlier as well considering the last suggestion was for 12.9 and these hats don't drop in value that steeply in only 4 months. Granted, at the time only 1 was on the market and since then one of the collectors has decided to sell his.