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Sellers below 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17382626 -3.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17347626 -3.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17387041 -3
All items can be sold for below/above bp.tf price. I know there's not a lot of regular on the market but 1 link to change it seems iffy
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52c6a12c4dd7b8ec788b4568
And it also had 2 classified sellers for 4.66. I'm going to stay neutral for now
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17206598 - sold for 4 ref
Links 1 and 3 are the same hat. The other trade is still quite young. (Vintages can take time to sell as they're usually niche.)