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Before we get started, I’d like to give a big shout-out to Mr. Bucket for making
most of thisthe entire suggestion for me. He is a kind and generous soul, who also happens to own an incredible screenshot service (check him out!) .Only two of these hats exist in the entire game, and I happen to own one of those two. The other one has not changed hands in over a year, and was purchased from someone who never listed it on Outpost. I purchased mine from Koga, who has owned it since the time of the last accepted suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17340582
I paid a Flaming Lantern Hottie’s Hoodie and a pair of Earbuds for the Circling Peace Sign Bubble Pipe.
http://i.imgur.com/vHCHJTh.png
http://i.imgur.com/xOi7Vkm.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/voGmrzA.jpg
If we take a look at the Hoodie’s page, we can observe the original suggested value for this hat is 4-4.2 buds.
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Hottie%27s%20Hoodie/Tradable/Craftable/37
If we take the mean price there, the original suggested value is 4.1 buds. We then proceed to multiply 4.1 by 0.9 to account for unusual overpay. We get 3.69 buds, which we will round to 3.7 buds. Adding the bud to that 3.7 gives us a grand total of 4.7 buds, my new suggested range.
Thank you for your time, and please, show your appreciation for hard-working Mr. Bucket by upvoting :D!
Eh. I don't know here.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15627992 - sold for ~3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14958546 - sold for ~4
So the last three sales on this hat are at 3, 4, and 5. I don't know how we can reliable call 3 and outlier and not 5. Not to mention that the sale at 5 includes a lantern hoodie which is a tough sell at its listed value of 4.
Well those other sales were months ago and what led to the current price. One was just unboxed about 2 days after I posted this suggestion and was immediately offered 3 buds from a quickbuyer (on his trade) and instantly rejected it. He is also asking for 5 pure, with no influence from myself. I already tried to offer him my longer history bubble pipe + 10 keys and he rejected even that.
TL;DR the 3 bud price is a joke, and led to the current price. This is a needed price update and looking at what I paid and the offers the recently unboxed one has, anything under 4 buds on this hat as a value has become provably a joke.
Also if the hoodie were an easy 4 pure, I'd have set the suggestion to 5 buds. It was lowered due to overpay.
I'm not trying to say 3 should be in the range. I just don't see any offers >4. To me both 3 and 4.7 are outliers.
ohh. well I definitely think either way, even if that's the case, it's far closer to 4.7 than 3.2 which is the current price.
dunno and don't care much for unusual trading, but here's what I have so far:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17499491
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17571157
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17504693
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5281beb14cd7b8077e8b4568
sold for 4.2 buds pure. 4.7 is not that far away from that.
It sold again with a miami maddendoktor for a c9 brainiac (both unpriced, didn't check if something was added).