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Um I did some changes.Link 1:
Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16124259
http://imgur.com/qfHibdr
Sold for 76 keys+strangeArchimedes(9 keys at that time)=85 keys
~4.35buds=4.4buds
Link 2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16703934
Sold for searing plasma tree+29 keys+Essential Accessories(~3.5 keys)
(overpay factor 2.2*0.9 = 2 buds = 39 keys)
Total~72keys(~3.69buds=3.7 buds)
As stated in the comments, the tree price is outdated, so 3.7 can't be included in the range.
Price of tree is 5 months old, which breaks this rule:
"Hats with an outdated price (>3 months old) are not valid proof."
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet-full-guide-soon-to-follow/
Mods might give a bit of leeway, but idk
Bought mine not to long ago for 5 pure.
http://imgur.com/35N51z4
I'd probably call the Tree sale an outlier, due to the tree having an outdated price, and do 4.4-5
price doesn't seem accurate, i bought mine for ~5buds paypal
give me a proof an I will reset the price.