Suggestion: Cloud 9 Black Watch at 109.2–130.65 keys

Price Suggestion

~38 keys

cloud 9

152 votes up

33 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Fri, 31 Jan 14 01:01:12 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

All unusual values (unless the suggestion's hat was offered) are taken at 0.9 * original mid value OR original low value, whichever is lower.

#1 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16636624 - Cloud 9 Black Watch <> Scorching Milkman

Sale #1: 5.6

#2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15620162 - Cloud 9 Black Watch <> duped & scammed Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return)

Cloud 9 Black Watch was offered, so no overpay.

Sale #2: 6.7

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Since the Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) is scammed and duped, I'm going to do a mini-suggestion for its price here to prove the value of 6.7.

#2.1 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16989979 - Quickselling for 7 for 6 days

#2.2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16098136 - Quickselling for 7.5-8(?) for over a month, appears to be relatively lightly bumped (321 views and last bumped 2 days ago as of writing this)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17048493 - Steaming Team Captain + Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) (+ sweets?) <> Miami Nights Bonk Boy

Total Sale: <=8.8, but his B/O was 7.

#2.3 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2071569188,935,5 <> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2078676345,984,5 - Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) <> Dead Presidents Tough Stuff Muffs

Total Sale: 6.7

Conclusion: Based on this, I'm pricing the duped, scammer-filled history Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) at 6.7-7 (clean version priced at 8-9.8 four months ago). Based on this it should put the Cloud 9 Black Watch sale at 6.85, but I'll take the conservative route and value it at 6.7.

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Other stuff:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17073722 - Cloud 9 Black Watch <> Dead Presidents Horrific Headsplitter [4 month old price, thus invalid, 5.9]

I've also been offered a Dead Presidents El Jefe [5.9] via trade offer that the owner traded while I was collecting proof to make a suggestion for it; can provide a screenshot of that if needed.

The person that traded their Cloud 9 Black Watch for the duped Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) eventually traded that + some sweets for a Disco Beat Down Black Watch... free upgrades, wootz.

Be careful with the harvest juju: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17071339 - took me more than 1 week to finally get 5 pure out of it (and this was clean).

I have a feeling that this price might be too high.~

I'm not sure exactly what's up with Harvest Jujus, but I checked offers on a number of them (mostly the duped ones) and there are some unusual offers in the 7-9 range, though most of them are outdated prices or old offers so there wasn't much point to include them.

The original 8-9.8 for clean ones is probably a bit too high, but I don't think that's an issue here. If others think it is, I can close this and resuggest when better proof is available.

Sale #1:

Scorching Milkman original price is 6 - 6.5, ~5.6 after overpay

Sold in 2 hours

Rather quick?

Also keep in mind that the Milkman price is 3 months old, which can be considered invalid

Sale #2:

How can you price duped & scammed Harvest Moon Voodoo JuJu?

#1:

Could be considered a quicksale, though I'm not sure how many people would call unusual swaps quicksales.

The price is closer to 2.5 months old (made early November), and is still within the time frame that's considered valid.

#2:

I posted sales and trades for the duped JuJu instead of taking it at the listed 8-9.8 price to show that it's worth the value I've used; that's the middle section of the post.