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1 bud pure + 1.3 buds (Orbiting Fire Private Eyes)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16929701
2 bud + 8 keys pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16447494
Was sold 1:1 to Terror Watt Counterfeit Billycock
Orbitting fire Private Eyes is 4 months outdated.
I believe it still sells for 1.3-1.4 bud:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17400648
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12900605
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17335575
etc.
Those are buyouts.
4 months is not considered too outdated to make a suggestion based on that hat. It's 5 and over iirc (according to polar bear)
See the new guide for it. hats outdated by >3 months are considered invalid.
Polar's comment on this is much more recent than the guide? Ask him if you don't believe me
the guide was re-done recently. Polar made it himself, and all the other mods made it together.
Alright, nvm then I guess. I do recall him saying it like a few weeks prior though
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet-full-guide-soon-to-follow/ Part 1, bullet 2. started on Jan. 8th.
First link (as I mentioned on first try) was sold for Terror Watt Counterfeit Billycock so the offer doesn't really matters
Second link had a B/O of 2 buds 8 keys, who said it sold to that much? got proof he indeed sold for that much in pure?
Buds were actually 17 - 17.5 at the time, which makes 8 closer to 0.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16190936 - offered the set here - added about ~15 keys in items for the spellbound billy (3-3.7) - that sale comes out to ~2.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16929701 - did not sell for the private eye; it sold for a pro vintage kunai + TW billy which MAY be ~2.3ish
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16792983 - offered on a disco noir ~4
Sales at 2.3, 2.4, 2.5, 4. Maybe 4 is an outlier, but this will need more digging into. The low end here is definitely low.