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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17192715 looks like offered and sold for a disco connesuiers b/c it said add me to make offers and it doesn't look like he added the guy with the fedora so 6.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15977170 2:1'd with a miami hat with no name 6.4 w/ overpay, the big kill is now .4 so 6.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15963158 sold for a disco das hazzen thing *No price*
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17385116 one sold for a green bat hat of cards, but added 3.9 in sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17457695 bought mine for a hearts tosslecap *outdated*+.2 in sweets
~5.5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17457695 - duped hearts tossle + .2
~5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15510408 - MN tree (old price, but it's probably gone down, if anything) ~5 - looks like 1:1 - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198021272428?time=1388131200
<6 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17248048 - b/o of 6 and he actually bought it for a disco conn cap he was selling for 5. That sale is no more than 6
~4.5? - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17335318 - beams ze + stormy sack?
6.8 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15988014
Mini-suggestion for the tossle:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17156772 - ~5.3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17498111 - ~5.5
Multiple b/o's at 6, so ~5.5 is probably reasonable. That sale is <6 for sure.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17419767 - unpriced sale
Too many sales under the suggested range here.