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[Proof below]
8 months old price
Overpay applied
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16372719
-sold for terror watt pom + 6 keys (~3.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16771150
-sold for blizz cannonball + terror watt mongo + 0.4 (~4.5)
Your sales are months old, there have been tons more recently dated sales. Please find those, downvote until then.
Only 2 Proofs?
Thats why its 8 months old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17333475 - b/o 3.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17333114 - b/o 3.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17202041 - b/o 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17559158 - b/o 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17552909 - b/o 4
High end is almost certainly too high. You would definitely need more sales to convincingly show that 4.5 isn't an outlier. And considering these b/o's, I'm sure most of these people bought it for less.