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Attempting to give it a price.
I traded a vivid plasma beak for (valued at 6 buds)
http://gyazo.com/3c8ed93ea6832f9ec06ad994d02267ef + $25
Which came to around 4 buds + the defiant which was valued at 2.5 buds
proof that is was vivid beak (i had 2 beaks at the time):
http://gyazo.com/f6ff9a117124b5b83bd760bf4de81845
I sold it for 30 keys + Nuts n' Bolts Head warmer (15 -17 keys)
Proof:
http://gyazo.com/2e15a64ded12d0449ac482f51e8dcbd2
who offered in both trades?
The person with the Defiant offered in the Beak trade and the guy who bought it offered in the Head Warmer trade
Beak is 5.6 low end, or 5.2~ using .9 overpay rule.
Nuts n bolts Head warmer is outdated too.
Needs more proof. First trade the spartan is part of the deal, so it can be used as bonus for pricing. You need 2 straight sells to price. Downvote for now.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15640720 - cauldron salty - old price but at least 2.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16213572 - aussie fan + festive rl - hard to say what it was worth at the time
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15911197 - unpriced hat
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15905748 - blizz pot + 1 buds for it ~2.2 ish
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17622028 - 2.1 ish
Nuts headwarmer sale would be ~2.5
Beak is 5.8 at its mid price which would put that sale at ~1.8. Honestly, I wouldn't even use that given the complex nature of the trade.
So sales at 2.1, 2.2, 2.5, 2.5+? Err. I guess this is close enough. I can also rationalize throwing out the high and low sales to make this 2.2-2.5 which would definitely be close enough to the suggested range