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You're following the 3 month old price on backpack.tf I expect. You misunderstand the functionality of that site. The next time you refresh your backpack page there, be sure to understand the line at the bottom that reads "Please note: Prices listed on this page are only a suggestion. Prices are managed through community vote and may not always be accurate". What you are witnessing here is the price of an item, that first appeared in a crate 18 months ago, increasing because nobody is opening the crates anymore and the item is still in demand. You will notice that this is one sale open on page 1/1 for this item, almost all of which are pricing the item at 1 key. The problem is that backpack.tf's price is incorrect, not the other way around. Please be sure you understand the market before making such comments. Thanks for your interest.
Sellers :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16798950 - 1 key ( many solds )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9805354 - 6 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13888656 - 1 key ( many solds )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17581366 - 6.77
This is the TF2 economy. I don't upvote for reason. I upvote for proof. And with so much counter-proof, your proof is hard.
Also, if you unhide the comments on http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16798950, you'll see that none of them actually confirm a trade for 1 key. Your 6.77 ref one also hasn't been sold.
you're making a big assumption there saying nobody is uncrating the crate anymore :X
also for this big a jump? might want to put up more than 4 links...
Honestly, only your 2nd link is good to me, it has 2 or 3 adds for 6 refs in the last week. That's good for .9, but I really don't think a key should be in there.
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10008792 3 ref
http://bazaar.tf/trade/663834 3 ref
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10007814 3 refRelistActually the 3rd link is a relist of the 1st...
A 3 ref part was instasold 1 hour ago [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17611893[/url] (to the suggester)
Another sold for 3 ref < 1 day [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17585523[/url]
Sold for 5.11 [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17573520[/url]
Very few on market, range should be more like 3-6 ref (even if it's a bad range)...
my bad on the third link :(
Price definitely needs a change though
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17611893 bought by creator of suggestion for, I assume, 3 ref
Well, that's really weird!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16798950 Has only one person who added him, and trade has been open for atleast a month.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13888656 9 month old trade, no adds for this part in over a month.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9805354 Appears to have sold only 3 parts in the last month. 6 Ref isn't in the range so it's only working against you.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17581366 Unsold for a key.
Poor proof, easy downvote.
impossible to found one for 3 ref, unless community market...
You bought one for 3 Refs:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17551181 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17611893
Why you don't include 3 refs on the range?
Which crate has this
damn that's a huge jump ...
i sold one for 1 key
http://i.imgur.com/c5zgq6U.png
Lower the price to around 6 Refined. I sold mine 18 minutes after putting it up for sale for around that price. The buyer was eager and even willing to pay 5 ref + 2 craft hats, only charged him for the refined and 1 craft hat. I also got a few more friend requests following his.
My trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17641996#p51185975
Upvoted, and hopefully all voters learn that 3 refined isn't going to work. The part is becoming harder to come by, and all current trades/classified ads for it are at 1 key. Only one guy is 'selling' for 3 ref currently, and he hasn't accepted any friend requests from people who have posted and added him. The part is still sitting in his backpack ----> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17627001
tl;dr, Outdated price. Lower range to around the .8 Keys/6 Refined area. It's a better selling range.
I have sold at least 15 from http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16798950
When I can access my trade offer history I'll post proof, but for now here's the sales just from my dispenser.tf bot + steam trading (90% of my trading is done via trade offers) http://imgur.com/hOWwo6w
I see so many people counting the "adds" from my trade, completely stupid considering the trade contains the phrase "Please don't add me, use trade offers". Use common sense please.
Total of 7 listings on outpost. A high-demand part.
When one gets posted for 3 ref this is what happens: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17627001
It's about time we caught up to the market price for this. Frankly, a wider range (0.8-1) to capture the wide range of sales would be better. But with so few selling, I really do think the suggested value is way better than the current price and probably close to its market value.