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Overpay/Original Prices used
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17564202 - Bought for DBD Attendant (5.8 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15880461 - Sold for MN Virtual Reality Headset (3.7) + Steaming Pugilist's (0.5) = (4.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15221147 - Traded this Harvest Moon Medic's Cap for the Tree (5.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15052961 - Sold for (5.5 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14902212 - Sold for Flies Executioner (7.9) + Electrostatic Shooter's Tin Topi (2) = (9.9 buds) OUTLIER
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15976482 - Sold for TW Mongolian (1.7) & TW Yellow Belt (2.7) = (3.4 buds) OUTLIER
Additional Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15696952 - Traded w/ MN El Jefe + 1 bud for DBD Antlers
Not sure whether to include 4.2 sale or not. Lemme know what you think.
DBD Attendant is a 7 month old price
Steaming Pug is a 7 month old price
HM Medic's map is a 8 month old price.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/
The 5.5 sale is kind of old already. All the other sales are on hats with rather outdated prices. For example, the miami virtual reality headset have BOs of 3 buds ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17719679 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17714665 ).
For the DBD attendant:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15575940 - sold for p.fetti TC (6.5-6.9)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17841288 - KaW phantom
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16907969 - phos AA (4.5-5.5)
Looks like this price is still somewhat decent.
You should similarly prove the other hats. There is a lot of disparity between sales, and only one sale in 2 months. In any case, your low end price isn't supported.