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[Proof below]
a year old price
Overpay applied
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17485931
-sold for 80 keys (4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15943129
-sold for scorching backbiters (~4.7)
We stopped allowing low end of the range for overpay for exactly cases like these. Taking overpay as 4.7 on a hat with a mean price of 4.8 is not appropriate.
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Backbiter%27s%20Billycock/Tradable/Craftable/14
Scorching backbiters is 4.25... correct me if I'm wrong, but 4.25*0.9= 3.825 buds... I think I'm missing something, but that's what I think.
bud inflation affects the listed price, to find the value it was suggested at (original value), follow the blue line on the chart and hover over the most recent dot, which the range is 4.7-4.9
Ok... thanks for clearing that up. Still, that would be 4.8 and that would mean after overpay it was ~4.3 buds.
You can take the overpay by either multiply the mid price by 0.9 or by taking the original low end of the hat.
Ok, thanks for clarifying that. You are epic :)