Messed up the damn range the first time through.

Looking at Strange Festive Jarate today...

1 Key + 4 Ref = 1.6 Keys

1 Key + 5 Ref = 1.7 Keys

1 Key + 6 Ref = 1.85 Keys

Not sure if this is able to be used as evidence: http://puu.sh/6GW0q.png Trade.tf has average at 1 Key + 2.77

Classifieds:

Many under 2, many unsold for a while at 2 keys:

http://puu.sh/6GUzc.png http://puu.sh/6GUzT.png

Sold at 2 Keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17673358 (no longer in bp)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17670407

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17647473

Unsold at 2 Keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17470094 - 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17645602 - 1 Day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17642972 - 1 Day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17678158

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17675952

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17674704

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17563225- 5 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17517399- 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17619648 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17405437 - 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17351703 - 2 Weeks!?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17573770 - 5 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17520725 - 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17500930

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17041463 - bp.tf prices for 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17057788 - bp.tf prices for 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17618208 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17109277 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17497919 - 1 Week

Unsold under 2 Keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17689693 - 1 Key + 5.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17678657 - 1 Key + 4 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17689635 - 1 Key + 6 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17672270 - 1 Key + 4 Ref, also offered that amount

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17613926 - 4 Tickets (~13 Ref)

Sold under 2 Keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17689636 - 1 Key + 5 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17678657 - 1 Key + 3 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17662267 - 1 Key + 4 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17658388 - 1 Key + 4 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17647243 - 1 Key + 4 Ref

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17675952 - 12 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16573549 - (5 day old) Offer of 1 Key + 5 Ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17109277 - 1 Key + 3 Ref

There are just way too many unsold at 2 Keys to be in the range, despite the few that have recently sold. There is also a fair amount are unsold and sold at the suggested price, but there are limited sales that I can find. The bulk of my solds came from trade.tf's closed listings.

I'm open to feedback. Please vote, even if you disagree with me!