Suggestion: Stormy 13th Hour Bubble Pipe at 193.05–195 keys

Price Suggestion

~279 keys

13th

152 votes up

7 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 10 Feb 14 01:17:48 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Original values of unusuals used and overpay applied when necessary. Buds and keys what they were time of sale

Proof #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17571636

Sold for the Current Offer of "Robo HWNN (~7.8) + Blizz Drills (~1.5) + 20 ToD + 3-4 keys (~12 keys)"

Total: ~9.9 buds

Proof #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17336876

Sold for HOUWAR (~10) - No overpay since offered

Total: ~10 buds

Currently on Outpost: 1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17692542 - No Buyout

- Claims to have gotten 15 bud pure offers and a DBD Jefe Offer, though no evidence of these -

Conclusion

2 sales that have moderately dated unusuals and priced unusuals. other sales have outdated unusuals or unusuals that aren't priced. After that, the latest sale was 5 months ago. Any Extra Proof/Cunter-Proof/Opinions/Tips/Help is all welcome. Thanks for reading. Feedback is always appreciated.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17692542

Offered a TerrorWatt BoA. Didn't sell for it and it doesn't have a price

the boa should be 15+ at a conservative price.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13494032 offered duped burning attendant, sold for disco brainiac + shadows western i think. attendant should be at least 13

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17280468 deal for misty cm worth looking into

Well the Western Wear has no price

And the CM is outdated, but with overpay it'd be ~9.4 buds

not sure if the cm was a 1:1, and the attendant offer at the least should be higher

Lol, that guy posted the hat in the bp classifieds for 15 buds. If he had actually gotten a 15 bud offer he would've taken it.

upvote because of italic text at the beginning

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14880611 this guy bought it with a CB Exe.

then he appears to have sold it for:

Pom-Pommed Provocateur dead presidents

Brim-full of bullets cloud 9

Soviet Gentleman miami nights

Virus Doctor disco beat down

Blizzardy storm bubble pipe

You should try to verify proof #1 the final offer listed was "HWNN, drills, and hetmans" which is different than the C/O offer. Probably need to check BP histories.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17692542 sold for terror BOA

1st link is 4 months old.

What he sold it for is unpriced

BoA is unpriced

Everything you have sown is invalid

Just trying to help you out. 4 months on a 1 of 2 hat is perfectly relevant IMO. Esp when it was traded for an item the has some price history.

Terror BOA is likely to be above your range, what about my question regarding the actual sale of your link 1? When establishing the first price you should use all available information. Not just a quicksale for a houwar and a sale that the actual items included are being questioned.

First trade did sell for what it says above: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17697688 ?

BoA has no price still. And since the Pipe was Offered for the HOUWAR, I wouldn't count it as a Quicksell

you are right. i just checked the BP histories and your sale for link 1 is correct it appears, however the HWNN price is old and it's a new effect so that's not the best measuring stick imo.

Here's the HOUWAR trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17375385 where it was offered just to document.

Here's another sale:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17280391 (3 weeks ago)

Misty CM + flies sultan

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13494032 Zirune sold for the disco brainiac + PS western as mentioned above. These 2 would be above your proposed range.

I think you should close this and monitor it. You are electing to ignore 4 other known sales and basing it off a robo effect hat and a trade where it was offered on a clean houwar where the overpay should work in the opposite direction, meaning it's worth more since he's overpaying.

Ignored sales:

-Misty CM + flies sultan

-disco brainiac + PS western

before: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198027882328?time=1389686400

after: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198027882328?time=1389772800

-terror BOA http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17692542

-CB exe (4 months ago) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14880611

Read my comments above for the "ignored" sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17775610 offered dp KE(outdated, but definitely more than 10)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13494032 offered duped burning attendant, sold for disco brainiac + shadows western. attendant should be at least 13

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17692542 sold for terror watt boa

suggested range is too low