Suggestion: Stormy 13th Hour Bot Dogger at 52.65–78 keys

Price Suggestion

~270 keys

13th

102 votes up

26 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Wed, 12 Feb 14 15:32:42 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Stormy 13th Bot Dogger!

Thank god this is 1:1 and has a short history unlike my last suggestion.

The unboxer:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/436233

Had his friend broker the hat for him:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/32478

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16310817

No accepted offer but the offer of an Eerie Private Eye (2.7) by Vui lines up with Vui being next in the history.

Now the third (but really second) owner, Vui.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/65298

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17664109

Sold it to Childe Ronald for SF Scatter (3 buds) with domination kills (2 keys) and victory time kills (0.44 ref) for hat + 14 keys

Childe Ronald

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/146564

Sold it + g. pip boy (2 ref) + gift wrap (1 key) to me for a KaW Milkman (3.9) on an unusual trading server

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17685150

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17719421

Thanks for reading. Again the hat is 1:1 with a short history, this suggestion accounts for every trade to ever take place with it.

dat price range...

It's what averages are for bro :D

Sale #2:

The Bot Dogger owner added 14 keys to the SF Scatter, he buying a SF Scatter and the trade was up for around a day, quicksell doesn't really count

I don't understand where the high end comes from

You should state who offered what (talking about your sale) and you need to use original prices and calculate overpay

Childe Ronald B/O was 3 hence the sale cannot be higher than that

Eerie Private Eye original price is 2.8 - 3, ~2.6 after overpay

Conclusion:

1 sale is like 2.2 or 2.3 and is probably a quicksale

1 sale is 2.6 and not 2.7

1 sale is unknown exactly but cannot be higher than 3 since his B/O of 3, whole range is inaccurate

- The length a trade is up does not determine whether it is a quicksale or not. A quicksale is when the owner of an item sells their item at lower than normal prices because they need quick metal or buds, hence the "quick" part of "quicksale."

- The high end comes from when I gave Childe Ronald a KaW Milkman worth 4 buds on an unusual trading server. He had his hat for sale, I traded him, and I put up my unusual Kill-a-Watt Milkman. He agreed to a 1:1 but I asked him if he could add Gift Wrap and a Genuine Pip-Boy because my friend wanted one and I wanted to gift it to him. I figured that would compensate the price of it being a robo hat and he agreed. He went and bought Wrap and Pip on the community market, retraded me and then I gave him the KaW Milkman for Stormy 13th Bot Dogger, Gift Wrap and a Genuine Pip-Boy.

-The above answers your question about Childe Ronald's B/O

-Going by backpack.tf prices and averages, since this is a backpack.tf price suggestion, Eerie Orbiting Fire Private Eye is 2.7 buds

Conclusion:

1 sale is the owner wanting an item worth 3 Buds and adding 14 Keys

1 sale is still 2.7

1 sale is known because I own this 1:1 hat and know what I paid for it. If you want a screenshot of my inventory history I can provide it

Sometimes we leave a suggestion up for longer in case we get lucky with a few more sales. Seems like we got lucky. So here are all the sales:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16310817 - EOF pe ~2.7

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17664109 - added 14 keys for SF scatter ~2.3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17685150 - KAW milkman - the milkman has an outdated price that shouldn't be used (see comments below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17719462 - sold for an unpriced hat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17813257 - SF scatter? can't tell if anything else added ~3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17902839 - KAW robo baker ~3

Sales at 2.3, 2.7, 3, and 3. A range of 2.3-3 would be reasonable

About the scatter - just as paint doesn't add additional value on unusuals worth >2 buds, parts don't add extra value on strange festives >2 buds.

About the milkman - original suggested value was 4-4.5. The last suggestion is clearly off given all three current b/o's are at 4. The price has clearly changed since then and it just won't be reliable to use to price this.