Proof below. 6 month-old price.

One on market duped which I have sales of but don't seem any lower

Sales:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17550175

-wanted 5 buds

-added a bit to buy hellfire tricorne: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17521988

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17180990

-wanted 5 buds

-aa+steaming bonk boy seem to have sold for kaw anger (right): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17135176

-3.2 buds outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16844894

-wanted 5 buds

-bought stormy 13th toque (year old price): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16808666

-~3.8 buds outlier and outdated price anyway

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16745756

-sold for $190 paypal=somewhere near 5.5 buds but no proof and too high, one has a b/o of 5.5 up for 2 months now

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16633712

-polar sold it for phos festiviser+2.75 buds=~4.9 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16450287

-b/o of 8 buds

-bought hearts tree+sweets: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15977061

-~4.6 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16179223

-aa+1 bud bought vivid swagman+set (no veil): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342278

-4.7 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16110432

-b/o of 5 buds

-sold for c9 tree+1 bud=5 buds

Current trades:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17115272

-wants 5 buds 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16104161

-b/o of 5.5 buds, 2 months

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17575146

-wants 5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16675135

-'quickselling' for 4.5 buds, 1 month may not have been that price since the start

Sales: 3.2, 3.8, 4.6, 4.7, 4.9, 5, 5.5

Low end could be 4.5 or 4.6 here, which is pretty close but I'm going with 4.5 since one has been selling for that for 1 month. Some people still have success around 5 even though b/os are mostly 5 buds so high end.