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First time price. Got 3 sales, but as with all new effects, prices appear to finally be dropping to realistic valuations.
Offered & accepted + 3 buds + sweets for a Miami Modest
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17219219 (1 week ago)
Miami modest is 8-11 -> http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52f7d7e54dd7b8544b8b4568
Makes this valued at about 5-8 buds
Sold for a HOUWAR in late December
Before: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198034603958?time=1388044800
After: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198034603958?time=1388217600
Sold for Roboactive HWNN + 2 Buds and 3 Keys + 3 Lime paints and 3 Pink paints (~9.5, but hwnn is a 4 month old price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15050843 (3 months ago)
Open trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17713101 B/O 6 buds + sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16772210 B/O 12 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17800147 B/O 11 buds
None of these have any offers that can used to help price it :(
So based on the "2-sale" rules, this should be priced at like 5-10 but that seems improper due to the 6 bud b/o price available atm.
Further, I know that this site does not believe in "tier pricing" but the reality is that the trading world does. Based on my price checking and trading experience, I can not see anyone paying more than 5-6 buds for this hat when things like vivid are 8 buds. If anyone else has additional information please let me know.
I can't really seem to be able to update the HWNN (no recent clean priced sales), but either way where the hell are you getting your prices from?
Original mid-range on the HWNN is 8.7*0.9=~7.8+(9/20)=~8.3 buds
The Miami Modest suggestion is wrong as I've demostrated, but even then it does seem like 8 buds is a solid low end, and assuming it is like that then the sale stays like 5, which is kinda outlierish given the other sales.
I'd suggest waiting for at least one more sale, downvote for now - range is WAY too wide imo.
I don't see how you can claim the modest suggestion is wrong. It's based on B/Os...
where did you get 8 buds?
The Miami modest rade I think?
How?
If Miami Modest is being priced at 8-11, we would take it as 8 buds for the low-end. Subtract three buds and the price of the Aces Modest is 5 buds. 8 comes from nowhere.
Technically the price range should be 5-10 according to the "new effect 2 sale rule" on the forums. I elected to reduce that to 8 to balance the high sale, low sale, and current b/o. If the range was only based on the low sale (5) and the low b/o (6) I don't think it would be all that fair to the ppl that paid 10 a couple months ago.
This range was the best blend of the data IMO.
Also 90% of the average would be 8.55 buds, but again, with the 6 bud B/O I'm weighing the price a bit lower.
5-8 is a huge range- I don't think we should price this hat just yet, for the sake of the range.
I think your pricing attempt here was noble and all but...
Range is too huge...
Although I Cannot Vote because backpack.tf's stupid backpack values thingy is blocking from doing this, i still think a little more thought should have gone into the price of this thing, there is just way too much of a price gap in the suggested price.
One person came to me with a price for this hat, he/she offered about 5-6 Buds worth of stuff, now that seems like a better price for it although he/she said that these thematic hats are really desirable and they will go up in price.
As a Side-note, Also this one I have came out of One of the New Strongboxes that were released recently.
Definitly an incorrect attempt to price this hat. I am the owner of one of these hats and yes, I am super quickselling for 6 + sweets...big whoop, you cant judge a price of a quicksell. So dont say that dumb "5-10 but that seems improper due to the 6 bud b/o price available atm" cuz its a quicksell, also the other trades are also looking for pure. There are many reasons why this price suggestion is bad
If you have "many reasons", lay them out. That's what the comments section is for.
It really doesn't matter to me, I actually would rather close it and make a new suggestion if there is compelling data. The fact that you have been selling the modest for 6 for nearly 2 weeks and no one has jumped on it indicates it isn't really a super quicksale to me. Please provide your input, not your anger.