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First suggestion in a year, and second actually serious suggestion, so please give me tips and don't be too harsh :)
I bought it from a friend for my Misty skull Armored Authority (With Overpay ~3.6 Buds)
[url]http://imgur.com/wLlYOEh[/url]
Later i sold it for a Cloud 9 Cold Killer:
[url]http://imgur.com/vihahzE[/url]
(Spec. KS SF Knife, Spec. KS SF Grenade, SF Amby, 29 Keys pure), He added his festive huntsman as sweets. Cold Killer Price: 6.5 Buds
We did not count the Spec. Killstreaks (Some parts were attached tho), so i paid about 66 Keys in items & keys and the unusual.
That'd value the unusual at about 3.2 Buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17772401
Selling it, no offers for 4 Days (Much on outpost i think), B/O 6
Sold for Kill-A-Watt Metal Drill Hat, With overpay 4,275 Buds => 4.2 Buds
As the AA is outdated, here a mini-suggestion for it:
(Only two on the market, not actually clear what the sellers paid for them:/ )
[url]http://imgur.com/cjTYcOp[/url] P. Fetti Stash(With overpay ~2.5 Buds) And some mixed stuff(About 30 Keys) So That'd be ~4 Buds(I really wanted the hat ->Overpay).
I will do my best finding more proof for the AA, give me some time :)
_____________________________________________________________
Conclusion:
Even tho the Green black Hole effect is priced way higher, 3.2 - 4.2 Buds seems reasonable.
It was a pain selling the hat as Robo-Unusuals are not really loved, i offered it on some Trades but noone was interested :/
If you got Tips, Proof / Counterproof, Criticism or anything, please let me know. :)
Sale #1:
Misty Skull AA price is 4 months old, kinda invalid considering the >3 months rules
Original price is 3.6 - 4, ~3.4 after overpay
Total Sale: ~3.4
Sale is kinda invalid though
Sale #2:
Cloud 9 Cold Killer original price is 7 - 8, ~7.5 without overpay, ~6.8 after overpay
Not sure if overpay is needed or not
Sale is NOT 3.2
Sale #3:
Kill a Watt Metal Drill Hat original price is 5 - 5.9, ~4.9 after overpay
Total Sale: ~4.9
You didn't use original prices and that's why your range is inaccurate
You did a mini suggestion for the AA, not sure if that can truly be considered pricing it and it doesn't matter, your other sales are inaccurate anyways
Why is #1 Invalid?
Why is Cold Killer 7-8(BP.Tf Price = 6 Buds..)
Even saw a killawatt metal drill with an b/o of 5 pure on a server + bp.tf price says its not that high
as i said, 1st suggestion in a while, can you explain me pls?
The drill was my trade. I added 6 keys to even it out to ~5 http://i.imgur.com/a2yIRec.png . Also I got an offer a few hours back.
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Full%20Metal%20Drill%20Hat/Tradable/Craftable/56 - the KaW robo-drill hat's original price was 5-5.9, with overpay it's 4.9 buds. The seller also added 6 keys, so that trade actually becomes ~5.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17685344 - this hat plus stuff was traded for a scorching softcap (6.7-7.1)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198068073656?time=1391328000 - by the backpack history, it seems a bud, 7 keys, v.luger (6-7 keys), s.f.grenade (9 keys), s.f.knife (20 keys) were added. That would make the sale ~4.5 buds
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Cold%20Killer/Tradable/Craftable/58 - cloud9 cold killer's original value was 7-8 buds. That would make your sale ~3.5
The AA's price is somewhat old, although I think 3.6 is still useable (seeing as how you paid ~4 for it). The robo drill hat may be an outlier, it seems to be a bit higher than the rest of the sales. However, your suggested prices are a bit off on both ends, so please fix and resuggest.