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4 month old price.
Original price: 6-6.4 on Oct 26th when buds were ~16.5 keys. Adjust this price to day = 16.5/19.5 * 6.2 = 5.3 buds. Let's see what it appears to actually be worth today!
Current/Recent Trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/192198149 B/O 6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17429431 B/O 6 (duped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15233418 B/O 140 keys = 7.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17672889 B/O 5.5 (duped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17913188 B/O 6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17257178 B/O 7 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17482793 B/O 6
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17482793 (duped)
For Ghost Chieftain**, Hearts Festivizer***, big kill (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17607966)
B: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198013418316?time=1390809600
A: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198013418316?time=1390982400
**Ghost Chieftain priced 3-3.3 on Oct 27 when buds were ~16.5
Adjusted price = 16.5/19.5*3.15 = 2.7 buds (Reality check, a couple for sale with 3 bud b/os)
***Hearts Festive priced 2.2-2.6 on Oct 16 when buds were ~17
Adjusted price = 17/19.5*2.4 = 2.1 buds (Reality check, two with 2 bud b/os)
Sale Price = 0.9*(2.7 + 2 + .5) = 4.7 buds
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16420605
Sold for Planets Hustler + DBD Blokes + 2 pure + 8 keys
B: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198011990657?time=1390896000
A: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198011990657?time=1390982400
**Hustler priced at 22-24 keys
***DBD Blokes priced 2.6-3.5 on Oct 22 when buds were ~16.5. Adjusting to now is 16.5/19.5 * 3 = 2.5 buds
(Reality check, one has a b/o of 2.5 and one just sold for a steaming CM + 7 keys so at best it's 2 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17020463)
Sale price:~5.5 buds
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://backpack.tf/item/1087083093
Sold for SS KE unsure who offered.
B: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050991682?time=1390550400
A: hhttp://backpack.tf/id/76561198050991682?time=1390636800
**SS KE priced 6-6.8 on Apr 18 2013 when buds were ~22.5
Adjusted price = 22.5/19.5 * 6.4 = 7.4 buds*
*Reality check, two up for sale with 6 bud b/os so at best this sale is 6 buds
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://backpack.tf/item/1394378846 (NaBbeR and Dwarlson) (duped)
Planets TC + Planets Beak for CB Inspecteur** + Cloudy Dapper + 1 pure
B: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198120566925?time=1391068800 & http://backpack.tf/id/76561198051936810?time=1391068800
A: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198120566925?time=1391155200 & http://backpack.tf/id/76561198051936810?time=1391155200
XX + 3 buds = 1.6 + 4.7 +1 means 4.3 buds but the inspecteur is really old.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17868976
Offered Clean Harvest Tyro (11) + S.F Pro KS Medigun + 4.5 + Planets TC + Miami Roboglove (1.5) + Specialized Shotgun Fab + further sweets for Ghost TC (24)
Planets TC is valued at ~4.8 in this sale but it's an all- items sale for a expensive hat.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17739519 (duped)
Rejected 4.5 pure
Sold for a g.energy mirror, blizzard phantom and 19 keys (~5 buds)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Setting the price at 5-5.5 based mostly on the clean sales. It appears duped versions get 4.5-5 so this range appears reasonable.
Aslo rejected 4.5 pure 4 days ago for clean planets TC
proof: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17372617
Upvoting this one, sold mine for 5.3 in $$$ yesterday.
8:06 PM - ๖ThatOtherChigga: Hey, I got a Planets TC, but was wondering if you could pay the original suggested price of the TC: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/526bf8f64dd7b85e498b456b , not the money impacted value
*convincing, explaining*
8:19 PM - ๖ThatOtherChigga: aight. Does $185.5 sound good? Valuing buds at $35.
8:19 PM - Gim: Yeah it sounds good
Oh, mine was a duped one too.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcJI87u3DoQ
if 4.3 buds and 4.5 buds-rejected offers -5-5.5-more fair price range
UP+
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17717426 rejected searing beak(4.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18080763 g fetti phantom + white bmoc + .2 of sweets, offered so no overpay = 4.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17948599 rejected 4, beams cowl if they add a little
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16872304 added ~2.1 for a stormy KE
and then most of the sales in the other suggestion are <5
4-5.3 seems low, but 5-5.5 seems high
That 4.8 sale is a duped one, he claims on his current trade he was offered 4.8 pure. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18098168
4.5-5 is the spot for the dupes for sure...and there are lots of them. If prices are supposed to be clean ones I think my range makes the most sense.
I mean chigga sold his duped one for 5.3, in cash :o
I can't remember if Jon indicated what sales were dupes, but I imagine a lot of them are. He also seemed bitter about this hat to, but that might be me reading into things a bit much.
i didn't realize that at all, thanks for pointing that out. i guess with chigga's sale, 5-5.5 is more accurate then 4-5.3. accepting this one