Vivid Plasma Honcho's Headgear (3.5-4 buds) | (last priced 6 months ago)

Last updated to 2.7-3.2 buds

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Trade #1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16798837 sold for 4 buds pure

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Trade #2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17549483

Only one for sale, buyout of 4.5 buds. Claims to have bought it for 70 keys (3.5 buds now, but unknown when sale occurred). Previous owner acquired the Honcho 7 months ago when he upgraded his Searing Honcho based on notes: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12352416

Again, it is unknown when current owner acquired it during those 7 months, though first time he listed the Vivid Honcho for sale was 3 weeks ago: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17349962 so it may have been recent.

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Trade #3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15508910

Seems to have sold for a Vivid Plasma Whoopee Cap: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16428090 although it is not clear whether any sweets were added on either side.

His trade had a collecting offer of 4 buds from a person buying them via PayPal, but apparently it didn't go through.

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Conclusion: Pure sales > Unusual sales

Therefore the price suggestion will be 3.5-4 buds since the second trade most likely acquired the unusual recently, and third trade doesn't have a definite list of items traded.

This is everything I could find, if you know of any other recent sales, then feel free to provide evidence for them, if not, then don't complain about the proof.