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lvl 5 ad meTime for a bump! Proof below!Keeping 1 ref in the range because there are sellers in classifieds at time of writing for 1 ref and there are still enough outpost sellers as well.
Examples of 1 ref sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17943841
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17951279 - quickly sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17909470
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17822908
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17941336
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17831704
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17866136)
Most of the 1 ref sellers are old and/or poorly bumped however and it’s perfectly possible to sell for more as you’ll see below.
Some of the outpost trades are REALLY old. So if you look, make sure to remember that some of those prices are from 8 months ago. However, some of these solds are a few months old because the last price update was 5 months ago.
Solds
1.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15244816 - sold some amount, they are out of stock at the moment.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9805514 - sold 5
1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14464787 - sold 6, a few are old but the most recent was 3 days ago.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17411584 - sold 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12643069 - sold 6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12876826 - looks like they sold 6, one of them is really old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12227865 -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14933007 - sold 4
Note: On each of these trades there are a whole bunch of comments that simply say “added” and don’t specify which paint. So there’s likely more going on.
Plus a couple popular bots selling some paint: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17011567 (for ?), http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14441201 (for 1.33) and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16002411 (for 1.22). None of these have counters, but it should count for something.
Remember: give feedback and don't ever steal proof.
oh my god why does this take so long
Aren't all those sales for 1 ref unsold?
Yes, but I'm trying to prove that although it's selling for 1.33, you can still buy it for 1 ref, so 1 ref shouldn't leave the range.
Only proof you have of 1.33 are restockers that have only sold a few in several months?
There are recent trades...
The first 1.33 link had one sold 5 days ago (3 at time of writing).
And there were more recent ones as well.
Classicial Upboat
Some extra proof..Sold 3 in the past 2-3 days.
http://oi57.tinypic.com/14aee0p.jpg
http://oi57.tinypic.com/efnw5x.jpg
http://oi59.tinypic.com/9uoidx.jpg
The paint sells fine for 1.33, it's just that the demand isn't high at all and so many users only check for items on this site only, yet we follow the trend of another as a guideline. Same could be said for every current 1-ref paint on the market
Old proof is not valid
Even if it's from between the last price set and now? They aren't that old either. Most are 3 months maybe. I think that's within range IIRC.
3 months is pretty old, though if the trade is refreshed up to date and the trader active, it shouldnt be considered 3 months old.
Also, you can't trust paint shops saying they sold 6. Often people lie to make that number larger so it seems as if their price sells often. (I especially wouldn't trust http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14464787 , I heard he's not liked around here xD)
Paint shops also tend to change their prices often.
Actually for the paint shops I counted comments and found at least 6 adds for most of them. Plus a whole bunch of other adds that didn't specify paint. I don't know how to deal with price changes though.
Generally about ~a week is the range for valid, recent proof.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14464787
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12876826
would be your only valid sales at 1.33
This one as well: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14933007
And when I first gathered proof (a couple days before posting) this one was still listed as within 1 week: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17411584
There also isn't much out there that I could find, this is about it.
well, i left that link away on purpose, as its the same buyer as the first link i listed, he probbably didnt buy from both but just added about all sellers and only traded with one.
Ah. Didn't notice that.
I sold mine for 1.33 a week ago. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17860809
1 ref is fair
That's why I'm keeping it in range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18034513 sold for 1.33
Thanks for the extra proof!
sold mine for 1.33