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Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17759229
x1 2.66 ref
x2 3 ref
x1 3.33 ref
x1 3.66 ref offer
Unknown final sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17758971
3 refined rejected
3.66-4 ref unsold (1 day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17960462
4 ref unsold (6 hours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17978845
5 ref sold one perhaps
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17158456
Buyers:
2.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17475422
3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17965558
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17029550
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17982329
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17954180
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17930459
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17914311
3.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17575177
3.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17932021
Sales and buyouts are inconclusive. Buyers and offers show great unmet demand starting at 3+ But what are they actually selling for?
In comes SCM
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Silver%20Botkiller%20Sniper%20Rifle%20Mk.II
Based on the graph, we can say conservatively, that snipers have easily sold for at-least $1.50
If I sell my sniper for $1.50, after decucting fees, I can purchase ~0.55 keys or ~3.88 refined.
Ill round down for error and say 3.66 refined is my high end.
READ FOR MORE INFO ON SCM:
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/7285-how-to-properly-use-scm-sales-as-proof
You yourself is having trouble calculating and getting the most common sold price on SCM let alone other people here. Dunno man, still doesn't seem like SCM should be used as proof alone and based out prices from SCM.
I always find SCM to be to fluctuating to use as proof myself. Some days I can sell a Gen Quad for 3.30 as it's the lowest price, other days it drops to 2.90. Then there's the factor of buying keys at 2.40 in SCM...but why do that when I can buy a Lime or Pink paint for 1.99 and easily sell in within a day for a key and have some change left over? Just to many different variables.
I know people will hate me for saying this, but damn, all this botkiller suggestions are really well done, both yours and Python, and since I have all of them, my backpack will rise in price :D #Addict
edit: nevermind I'm stupid
Good proof, upvote. Also, this link has an offer of "2.66 or 3.66 ref" 1 week ago.
"5 ref sold one perhaps
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17158456"