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The value on this unusual dropped like a rock. Here are the only proofs I could get that were *relatively* recent, meaning at oldest one month (some were from way back months ago which I didn't include):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18035623 <-- Selling for 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17350585 <-- Selling for 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17202523 <-- Selling for 2 buds
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52d2458f4dd7b8927f8b4567 <-- one seller for 2 buds
http://bazaar.tf/trade/694134 <-- same seller as above
These were the only ones of that were for sale at markets, all going for 2 buds. Clearly the price can't possibly be anywhere above 2 buds.
need atleast 1 sold to change a price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1563197788 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2287680677 - sold for ghosts drills (2.8)
and the one in the classifeds is the same as your first link
B-but...you need solds
For lowering?
Yes. You need at least 1 sale.
How do we find solds?
Looks through history.
Your first link is selling for 2.3 buds.
They're selling for 2 buds. However, apparently they're B/O is 2.3 buds. I don't know where that came from, but he's saying that he's selling for 2 buds so that's what I'm going with.