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~850 keys
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Unusual Vintage Tyrolean It's a Secret to Everybody
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previous suggestion based on just one freaking sale

need HARD bump

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proofs (using original prices, overpay calculated ofc)

1. outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15379032

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16617767

backpack histories:

http://backpack.tf/id/76561197978734843?time=1387526400

http://backpack.tf/id/76561197978734843?time=1387785600

over 600$ bump

sold for clean PE beak + clean beams tyro + duped GE beak (i'll use x0,7) = 24.5

2. i paid clean cloudy stahlhelm (outdated lowball price) + 12 ToD tickets = 15.1

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previous owner:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17047170 (2 weeks trade)

notable offer: burning cowl + 4 = 14.3

    Again, I think anyone can agree that this price might need a boost. But 15 seems to come out of nowhere. The clean stahl has an ancient price and cannot be used as your only source of proof for 15.

so you're complaining about it only being based on one single sale, but base this entirely on one sale aswell?

    "just one FREAKING sale". i based on two sales (one is outlier) + notable offer

    more offers:

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14824889 - beams buto + hearts milkman (16.6)

      if one is an outlier, then its not counted, and its based on one once again.

      and that offer is over 4 months old, so not even close to valid anymore

        only 3 hats in the whole world, not many sales, so i think my proof is solid and right.

          im not commenting about the proof per se, im talking about what you said

    stahl: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17910275 offered stormy 13th stahl(9) + aces glasgow + PE ten gallon(3.2) + 1 = 13 + glasgow. i guess 15-16 reasonably is possible.


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17753763 harvest tyro + 5.5 = 16 outdated


    15 flat would be better than 15.1, since the price is only an estimate. but 15 on the stahl appears to be possible, so a conservative bump is fine. accepting