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Recently has been sold for 2.75 and 3.5 both within last 3 weeks.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17446391 sold for a green energy trophy belt as shown http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17469899 which is 3.5 buds with overpay, and that was from less than 3 weeks ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17750841 I sold my timewarp Hermes 2 weeks ago (was asking 4 buds as a price and more in unusuals (around 5 buds); already rejected max + 1 bud a week earlier in private chat) for a memory leak honcho + flies headwarmer + stormy robin. This would value the honcho at around 2.75 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17773082 sold for a memory leak honcho http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17774789 and the killa wat goggles have a 3 pure offer as well as an overclocked slick cut http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16525420 [so for all intents and purposes, let's call this sale around 2.75 buds]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17791278 sold for a phosphorous VRH (3.5 buds with overpay)
OFFERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17797246 has an offer of 4 buds in items, but the offerer got a different hat [I added him to check]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18118371 - 2.5 buds. 1 out of 3 on Outpost
Phos. VRH is 8 months outdated and with overpay is ~1.4: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Virtual%20Reality%20Headset/Tradable/Craftable/63
I think it was Sulph, which is 7 months old outdated (~2.9): http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Virtual%20Reality%20Headset/Tradable/Craftable/64
Also, doesn't even look like he sold it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18118371 ?
L1 - Added sweets. Still, the sale was ~3.5 with overpay
One valid sale and one on Outpost asking 2.5. Needs more proof.
Downvote for now
It appears he actually was too slow to take it, upon further inspection. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17914275 But it still proves he was willing to do that
As for link one, it's only 3 hours old, and he even says he's selling cheaply. Still, though, the recent sales can't be discounted. I'll do a price suggestion on the killawat goggles to get a better range.
Thanks for the feedback.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18118371 b/o 2.5. suggested range is definitely too high. 6 days is long enough
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18141566#p52372435
was offered DBD blokes, around 2.4 buds with overpay, rejected
and that proves your range how?
That disproves 2.4 buds, and the other sales are pretty strong and recent, which prove my range.
Hats shouldn't be valued above the b/o in pure. If your b/o on the hermes was 4 pure, then your sale is no more than 2.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18254763 - b/o 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17113588 - b/o 2.5
And the guy who bought the honchos with the KAW ze sold for 1.5.
That sale is unlikely more than 2 after overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18156042 - added v bills + vivid billy for dp jefe (had a b/o of 6 on the jefe) - which is ~2.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17708444 - traded for this ~3?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17776781 - sold for - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17733463 - b/o was 3
Perhaps a range of 2.5-3 would be reasonable on the sulph vrh (3.5 based off the 7 month old price is certainly not valid to use as proof)
So the sales here seem to be 2, 2, 3.5. There's a current b/o of 2.5 and that offer of 2.5. Certainly not enough here for the suggested range. 3.5 honestly seems like the outlier in the absence of more solid proof showing offers and sales >2.5