Price Suggestion
~57.22 ref
Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
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530 votes down
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Alright, after much deliberation, I have decided to close my previous suggestion on my own accord. The reason for doing so is because people brought up the point that my original proof lacked in quantity of links, and even though I continued to add three more additional large sections of proof I was still being told that there was not enough proof because people could simply not locate the proof buried beneath all the comments or possibly did not take the time to locate them. Therefore I have completely redone all the proof, making sure that all trades listed here were open at the time of posting this suggestion and have been bumped today. In addition, I have also attempted to broaden my source of proof by gathering as many recent and relevant links as I could find from both bazaar.tf and tf2tp.com to aid in this suggestion. There are over 300 links in this initial proof, I do not know the exact number because I kept adding links after I had already counted to roughly 270 links and did not wish to go back and count again. There are roughly a hundred buyer links provided paying 7.11 refined, and a few paying more.


Again, I stress that these are buyer links meaning these are people’s trades made specifically for the purpose of buying keys. These are not people commenting sellers’ trades. There appeared to be some confusion about this while I was reading the comments on my previous suggestion.


Buyers:


Regular Buyers:


7.22 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18128287 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18115157 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18091560

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17981275 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18126227 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18028080

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18026943 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17472122 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/191384


7.11 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18081302 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17925423 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17896597

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17121845 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18141088 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17822387

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18129244 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17199581 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18023916

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17979368 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17844237 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17092501

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18072938 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17974196 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17850861

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17920369 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18130657 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18113154

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18088719 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18126113 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18072352

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17926330 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18130455 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18060807

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18119715 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18057312 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18122158

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18114605 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17845045 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18084941

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18013471 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18139636 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17405069

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18084892 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18036491 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18079052

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17984642 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18028979 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18125198

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17235572 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17997677 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18144593

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18095597 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18023060 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18116709

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17847855 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18132313 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18105362

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18085057 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17842266 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17274354

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18131597 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18059498 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17831219

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18138781 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18134867 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18132870

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18040189 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18096141 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18106939

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18139451 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18073491 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17787340

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15516798 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18128299 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16925465

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17306475 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9059312 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18015983

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18114116 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18140416 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18127105

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17900114

http://bazaar.tf/trade/635711 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/679674 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/691075


7 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18063310 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16858971 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17615636

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17398204 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18135016 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17753299

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18117377 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18128360 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18094337

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18116277 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18033545 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17950310

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17899395 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17571177 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18123974

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17470544 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17950282 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17749443

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17945887 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18128611 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17935712

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17770571 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17761816 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18024089

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18126743 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16477450 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16269869

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17708784 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15473057 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17995314

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16294696 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17757715 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17844256

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18066849 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17823361 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18000845

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18070998 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17295156 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18127791

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18091605 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18049961 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17500167

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16598321 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17330933 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18124240

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17949017 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17770571 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18015670

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17643166 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18121262 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18001213

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17704043 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17032252 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17265767

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18137357 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18137577 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15265980

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17061909 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18003645 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18105892

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18138583 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17731855 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17739382

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18009729 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18011517 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14602879

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16735196 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17287636 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18125214

http://bazaar.tf/trade/696087 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/665391 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/231743

http://bazaar.tf/trade/694674 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/692627 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/680499

http://bazaar.tf/trade/687656 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/697426 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/698026

http://bazaar.tf/trade/631079 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/635994 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/697869

http://bazaar.tf/trade/696412 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/692556 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/697877

http://bazaar.tf/trade/680230 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/696997 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/697451

http://bazaar.tf/trade/625625 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/696599 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/694322

http://bazaar.tf/trade/696706 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/634682 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/696660

http://bazaar.tf/trade/697580 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/687678 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/688665

http://bazaar.tf/trade/693005 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/685159 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/676323

http://bazaar.tf/trade/636472 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/696780 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/664045

http://bazaar.tf/trade/697604 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/696166 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/638744

http://bazaar.tf/trade/664761 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/544783 | http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10037149

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10038144 | http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10037934 | http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10037675


Key Shop Trades: (a.k.a. resellers)


7.11 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17392107 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18100604 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18075280

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17870102 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18078328 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16228539

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18088693 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17768617 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18137431

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11860114 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17917801 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16889919

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17944280 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14901748 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16913672

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18133550 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18079441

http://bazaar.tf/trade/688991 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/696023 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/695919


7 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15457089 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17412047 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17381332

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17255383 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17361141 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15746536

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18136099 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17825401 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18134592

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17802423 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18065447 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15620827

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15487594 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17252454 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16602449

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18014739 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17913659 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17952626

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17061571 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17996245 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16251007

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17138363 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16840070 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11785888

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16463186 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17543202 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17622683

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18096530 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18107130 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18080444

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10806553 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18110077 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16645649

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18116437 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18112546 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17813528

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17655096 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17239725 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13830456

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18010882 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16598740 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18117032

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17651751 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17111563 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18122940

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15919148 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18008523 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17744267

http://bazaar.tf/trade/579095 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/603579 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/625504

http://bazaar.tf/trade/618250 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/538759 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/621704

http://bazaar.tf/trade/697146


*Please Note*: Now before I go into the bot section, I would just like to state that bots are not considered valid proof for key suggestions since they are mainly used for convenience and do not have the same flaws as normal traders such as a delayed response to an add, or possibly being offline. I am simply listing them to show that they exist and contribute to the increase in key's value leading up to this suggestion since these bots take up keys that would otherwise go to your average trader and rather than the owner doing something else with the keys, such as buy an unusual, unbox crates, or buy other items for himself or flip, he simply programs his bots to resell the keys they receive at a higher price.


Bots:


7.11 refined:

http://scrap.tf/keys | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15861456 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15670417

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12729897 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17118886 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18103214

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18007983 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11851316 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16611210

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16611269 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16611334 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16611547

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17223494 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16611587 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15715501

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13599180 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12169061 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17265108

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13678223 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17310050 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18144514

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17185339 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10746074 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12090596

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13580249 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/689750

http://bazaar.tf/trade/553175 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/269861 | http://bazaar.tf/trade/630321


7 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15454996 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17625151 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16369833

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13990056 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18040905 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361344

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361338 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361346 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16307576

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361341 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361331 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361350

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361345 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361340 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361347

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361334 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16307577 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361351

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361337 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361342 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16361333

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17977219


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The seller links I could locate in my 30 minutes of searching are skimpy to say the least. I tried my best at camping Outpost, but this is the best I could do without using trade.tf since that now requires premium to locate keys at 7 refined quickly. I assume 30 minutes is arguably the most time a buyer would reasonably spend trying to buy a key, so that’s why I cut off my search time. Its also highly frustrating to see people with a key up for trade with 7 refined listed on the side and when you go to view the notes; they say they are selling for 7.22 refined or 7.33 refined.


Sellers:


7.11 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18092778

http://bazaar.tf/trade/617146

http://bazaar.tf/trade/664305


7 refined:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18145881

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18136537


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Now, that I’ve provided all that, I would like to share a few of my thoughts. Firstly, the reason I believe buyer trades are more useful is because sellers do not prove a shift in market value as strongly as buyers do. There will always be a few people who may be willing to pay a scrap or two more for a key because that's how much the time to search for a cheaper key is worth to them, however, when multiple buyers appear buying for more, then it becomes more apparent that an increase may be in order. This is greater emphasized when they start opening their own buying trades because they can no longer simply locate a seller at a lower price, and have simply resorted to paying more than current backpack.tf price in order to attract the sellers to them instead. This is why I believe multiple buyer trades above backpack.tf demonstrate a stronger shift in the market towards a higher average selling price.


Secondly, I’d like to address any comments stating “think of the new players” entering the economy. Those same new players are the ones that go to the Mann Co. Store and buy keys straight from there. The new players that go immediately to backpack.tf because they do not know of another place to get the relative prices of items. The ones that see a key is worth 7 refined, so they sell to people paying that amount. Now many of those people, as seen through the links on this suggestion, went on to simply resell these new players’ keys for higher instead of using them for something else. Its people like that who solely to buy keys in order to resell them higher not thinking of the consequences that are leading to an increase in key prices. I'm not the one buying these keys from new traders and turning around to sell them for scrap or more above backpack.tf because the new player didn't know he could have gotten more quite easily. Those people, the ones listed under the ‘Key Shop’ section are the one dwindling up the supply at 7 refined, and rather than investing the keys elsewhere, they're simply reselling them for higher. If people wouldn't abuse keys for the profit of a measly one to two scrap more than the current suggested value, then the price wouldn't rise as drastically as they had done in the past.


Third, I am not doing this suggestion because I feel as though there’s some personal profit I can gain for myself by making it. I have demonstrated through the links on this suggestion that if I felt the need to sell keys for above backpack.tf price, then I could easily do so, and possibly be able to sell them even above this suggested price change since there are people openly searching to buy keys for 7.22 refined. I am doing this suggestion because I personally feel, and have always felt that the purpose of backpack.tf is to inform traders, new and experienced alike, of the current price items can sell for, especially an item such as keys which is so widely used in a multitude of trades that it is considered to be a currency item. I am not doing this for imaginary points on backpack.tf. If I wanted to have the points for making a suggestion, then I would not have chosen the most labor intensive item in TF2 to suggest upon since people are so accustomed to hundreds of links in the key suggestion whereas many other suggestions may be passed on as low as ten or less.


Please feel free to voice any constructive criticisms of this suggestion. Moderators only warn comments that bring nothing useful to the conversation such as those that wish to simply call back upon the key prices of the past as if calling attention to them will somehow make them reappear. Also comments that degrade any user or site; along with those that simply state the economy will crash soon will lead to a warning or ban as well. It is not an unfair system, and you agreed to this fairly simple terms to follow when you were asked to consent to the rules of backpack.tf: http://backpack.tf/vote?showrules=1 which is to basically have the same moral conduct standards as an elementary school student. I apologize if that came off as a little harsh for some people’s liking, but I feel it should be stated in layman’s terms since some seem to overlook it.


With all that said, I bring my main proof section to a close. Let the voting and commenting commence

    oh wow, time to get my tea and review the new key suggestion i suppose :T

      As a reminder. Last suggestion had a ton of spam


      Please try to stay on topic regarding the suggestion. What is relevant here are; personal experiences on the key trades, additional proof, issues with the provided proof, counterproof against suggested range, and thoughts on what range is most appropriate based on these factors. Community opinion on these matters is extremely important and off-topic matters distract from them severely.


      In order to try to keep discussion on-topic, spam and unnecessary off-topic discussion (including discussion of the broader economy) will be hidden. Abuse and rudeness will not be tolerated. For discussions on the economy and other tangential topics, we recommend the forums; http://forums.backpack.tf/


      For discussion on keys in regards to the impact on the economy, this topic in particular is recommended; http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6090-the-one-and-only-key-price-topic/


      For concerns about how the site is treating comments in key suggestions, feel free to start a topic in the following forum; http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/forum/20-general-website-discussions/


      These rules and guidelines apply to all key suggestions, past and present. In order to reduce potential confusion, the mod team is posting this summary in order to help bring attention to—and remind users of—these policies.

        The link to the key discussion thread is broken. Might want to fix that.

          Good heavens. This might take a while.

          If I don't come back tell my Family i love them T-T

            Finally a Key suggestion with no spam!!! In other notes I checked all your proof and all of them are good. Upvote.

              Ironically your first comment could be considered spam. ;)

                I was actually saying I was going to check all the key links and Quote:"If I don't come back tell my Family I love them T-T" ,but i guess people didn't understand what i said :(

            Alright there's a huge problem with key suggestions. Someone who buys a key above the market price because he wants it fast is a quickbuyer. We need to start using this term because they shouldn't be considered valid proof. People who buy a key for more than 7 refined want a key immediately and give up more metal to save time.


            I bought a key for 7 refined in a trade server in 2 minutes after advertising. 7 refined is the right price


            http://imgur.com/z95mEkx

              ok so you bought 1 key at 7ref :P two things: that's just you and one other guy, and maybe he was quick selling it as it did only take you 2 minutes to get it

                They're no longer "quickbuyers" if they're not buying keys for the purpose of having keys, but rather to flip those keys for 7.22 refined. There's over 15 people that have made those trades in the 'Key Shop' section, so they're not buying keys for 7.11 refined because they need them fast because all they do once they have them is flip those keys. Also I am not removing 7 refined from the range, and therefore buying a single key on a trade server for a price that is in both current and suggested prices isn't enough to discredit an entire suggestion.

                  Actually, apart from the fact that there are "quickbuyers" on about 90% of all key trades, noone would consider 7.11 ref as quickbuying at all, as it is only about 1.5% more than the actual price. And, as he showed in his suggestion, 7 ref, like you bought your keys for, is still in the range/is still possible.

                  Much better suggestion regarding that you pasted all the proof within your notes.

                  Good luck to you on this suggestion as well

                    Even though i think i like the current price better and some people will sell keys for 7.33 if this gets accepted, i gotta admit this suggestion is better than the previous. 7-7.11 well i am curious how this will turn out.

                      Or you can make a decision by reviewing the proof.

                        If you don't want to jump the gun, why bother even posting here?

                        I know this suggestion is ok but I really liked that key price was kinda stable for 2 months...

                          oh mai gawd he owns 4 of dem is pric manipoolasuhn


                          I think I might stay neutral for now. However, I have to say this is a really good suggestion. I'm leaning towards an up-vote.

                            They're keys... a lot of people own a lot of keys. It's not manipulation if there's an awesome suggestion, and its a currency. If it was like a genuine ap sap being voted up and he had four with a shit suggestion, that would be manipulation. Upvote.

                              You didn't seem to understand...

                              That whole sentence with the crossed line there was meant as a joke.

                              I love the way you organized your proof. I can look at a decent amount of proof without having to scroll too far down.


                              Proof looks decent and your thoughts are well said and explained. Upvote.

                                    Yeah when there's so much comments it's hard to spot the comments you posted =P


                                    Looks like the amount of buyers at 7.11 should be enough to support the range you suggested, compared to the previous suggestions - got my vote now.

                                      I feel it is necessary to post the same comment I posted on the last suggestion in case some people still don't realize that 7.11 is ridiculously easy to get for a key.


                                      I searched outpost using the 'enter a phrase to search for' function. This is available to all outpost users under the additional info tab near the bottom of the search page. I simply put 1 refined metal on the left hand side of the search and 1 key on the right hand side of the search. The phrase I looked for was 7.11.


                                      Within the first page alone I found these buying links:


                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16663062

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18139451 - "I give up since no one is selling for just 7 ref"

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18146099

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15715501 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12169061 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18147741

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17842266

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15861456 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12729897 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17223494 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11851316 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16611334 - Bot

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17997677

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17274354

                                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14901748


                                      These buyers are not hard to find. If you decide to sell your key for less than 7.11, you are simply misinformed, there's no other way to put it. Why anyone would sell for less than 7.11 is beyond me.


                                      As far as the suggestion goes, it's a definite upvote.


                                      However, I disagree with your statement "bots are not considered valid proof since they are mainly used for convenience". If I sell a key to a bot buying at 7.11, I'm not doing it because it's "convenient", I do it because it's buying above the current price and that's simple trading. If anything, bots would be more valid because they are always online and always buying. I know this issue has been debated before and I'm not sure what the general opinion is on bots, I'm just putting mine out there.

                                        L1 got 2 adds within ~4 hours

                                        L2 bought in an hour

                                        L3 got an add within a day

                                        L4 is a bot, so idk

                                        L5 is a bot, so idk

                                        L6 has 5 views, rarely bumped it ever

                                        L7 has bought 33, a bit more than 1 a day, might've changed his price?

                                        L8-12 bots so idk

                                        L13 didnt have much success

                                        L14 hasnt had much success, but has had a lot of success selling at 7.22 (wut)

                                        L15 is having a bit of success, some people actually buying some at 7.55, wtf

                                        Demand is definitely higher than supply, however 7.11 does seem to be bought quickly

                                        It seems as though the market is slowly transitioning towards 7.11 unfortunately, but we'll wait and see

                                        From my experience you get ~3 a week buying at 7, roughly the same amount selling at 7.11

                                        suggested range seems fair

                                        Great, upboat from me sir

                                          Good suggestion, I think this one will do :)

                                          Upvote!

                                            i'm going to stay neutral for this... i'd rather not be targeted by people on either side.

                                              They cannot target you for voting since no one can see who voted nor the current leaning of the vote. If you would rather not vote because you're still personally indecisive, then that's fine, but don't just not vote because you're afraid of people judging you for having an opinion, especially when they won't know it unless you state it here.

                                                I agree, give your side of the story, your not gonna be gunned down for it, personally I don't really like this suggestion because most of these proofs are from tf2outpost.com, and it literally is not hard to find these type of links on that website, literally everyone at that website sells at 7.11 or 7.22 for profit, also key banking and bots would not be considered valid on my stand view, because that is obviously going to sell at a higher price than 7 ref, since once again they are doing it for profit. He does mention this on the suggestion though.

                                                I'm guessing you didn't read?

                                                  I read last one. I don't need to read his book to know that 7 ref is a good price. I can still buy it for 7ref and don't see any problem to pay 0.11 or 0.22ref more if i would like to buy key much more quick.

                                                    That's why 7 ref is still in the range.

                                                  Opening paragraph of this suggestion states why I closed my previous one.

                                                    But you got only 45% of upvotes. Maybe it should force you to think that people don't want change? If 5-6 of them said that it is not enaugh proof why you didn't think about 1000 other downvotes..

                                                  People buy it at 7.11 because they WANT IT to go up in the item chain, with every new key change you are disrupting the cycle. + its really easy to buy a key on trade servers, its just that outpost have lots of people wanting profits

                                                    Honestly, I like the 7ref price myself, but it is almost impossible to buy a key for 7ref, unless it's a person who hasn't been trading for a while and blindly follows bp.tf's price. As soon as a 7ref key is advertised in a trade server or tf2outpost, it's sold. This is no doubt a quicksell right now. It is impossible to find anyone selling for 7 ref last more than a minute.


                                                    Even buying at 7.11 is hard when there are so many buyers at 7.11. I steadily buy at 7.11, and sell at 7.22 with no trouble.


                                                    Again, I don't want key prices to rise, but right now 7 ref seems to be misguiding people. But this has happened over and over again, as soon as it increases, prices will increase again. The amount of time it took to go up from 7 to 7.11 shows the power of bp.tf on the economy though.


                                                    I disagree with the range that's being suggested. I think 7.11 is more appropriate.

                                                    yea. my bot is in there

                                                      lol


                                                      http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2/comments/1ynakm/everyone_should_go_to_backpacktf_and_downvote_the/


                                                      Not mine, just keep in mind there's some kids that are forming a "downvote brigade" to "keep manipulation away".

                                                        lol no wonder my previous comment got a -3.

                                                        Just look at the proof guys, that's all that should matter.

                                                        Downvote. For the past week only 2 sellers have sold keys for 7.11 ref while plenty of others have sold for 7 ref pure on the trade servers I have been on.

                                                          Can you please provide some proof? E.g. Screenshots of the trades, server logs etc.

                                                          how long did it take to type up that essay lol


                                                            your earlier key suggestion had minimal proof

                                                            this is a great improvement

                                                            upvote

                                                              his previous suggestion had about the same amount of proof really, its just that you needed to search through 400 other comments to find the rest of it.

                                                              It's true that nearly all of outpost buys at 7.11/sells at 7.22 (or higher).

                                                              BUT: it would help if you got proof in trade servers, (where i never see people buy for 7.11 or sell for 7.22) .

                                                              maybe take a few screenshots of trade server chats? seems like only proof is outpost or bazaar.

                                                                scrap.tf's bots have bought many keys at 7.11 and sold many for 7.22 if people want to take that into consideration...

                                                                  Yeah, it seems like keys have been 7-7.33 for a while.


                                                                  I've yet to need to get a key for > 7 though.

                                                                  think this suggestion is accurate has solds for 7.11 and 7 ref so 7.11-7 ref is a good price range and he has a few hundred links, bots, etc. upvoat sadly cuz i still wish keys were 2.33 ref :C

                                                                    Price on tf.backpack goes up... people proceed to sell their keys for just a bit higher, and so on... and so on...


                                                                    The vicious cycle never ends.


                                                                    Nevertheless, solid proof, upvoted.

                                                                      Can't deny the amount of proof, upvoted!

                                                                        Their no point selling keys at 7.11 ref if their bots paying 7.11 ref, and if i quickly check classifieds at the momment i post this, i only see 7.22 ref sellers.

                                                                        https://www.dropbox.com/s/h0mabso6yzjkewd/keys.JPG


                                                                        Anyway upvote from me :)

                                                                          no point in trying to downvote, everyone elses soul is broken

                                                                          darn, a good amount of proof, upvote

                                                                            Most People on Outpost usually sell for more than the suggested price….

                                                                            So yeah I think it should go up….

                                                                              .5 key measurements are totally screwed up now, 3.52 ref(?) is the price. Thats... 3.44 ref, a wep, and an uncraft wep? Or 3.44 ref, a wep, and 2 crates?

                                                                                  Yes I know I'm probably going to get warned for this, but here, just a bit of info. Those people who say that ref is outweighing keys and that ref is flooding the market - the ratio of refined to keys in the economy is ~2.33 funnily enough. 800,000 keys, 2.1 million refined. I'm not saying the price of keys should lower but this seems ironic.


                                                                                  Just pointing something out.

                                                                                          so much proof to raise keys up one scrap xD

                                                                                          but overall its very sufficient proof and no spam

                                                                                          upvote for me

                                                                                            good god the amount of proof...

                                                                                            anyways i checked allot of it and i seems valid, though keys aren't going to go down i would have at least thought they would stop at 7 ref, bye bye refined prices, hello new key prices anyways upvote!

                                                                                              Proof is there and the votes are positive. With the vast some of trades happening at 7.11 (many of which belong to buyers), it seems like it is time to include 7.11 in the range.


                                                                                              Normal key cooldown rules are still in effect: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/2620-key-cooldown-guidelines-read-before-making-key-suggestions/