Price Suggestion
Collector's Bazaar Bargain
Submitted by Engi
~104 keys
Collector's Bazaar Bargain
217 votes up
59 votes down
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Come on! Headshot! No Body Shots! No Body Shots! And.... BAM! WOO HEADSHOT~


***This is a revised suggestion to Sir J-j-joo's suggestion.***


Current Trades

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18104250 - Around 13 Keys. (2 Days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18132124 - 15 Keys (1 Day Old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18135100 - 18 Keys (21 Hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16624566 - 17 Key current offer. (2 Months - Trade, 1 Week - c/o)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18137202 - 15 Keys (20 Hours - Looking for Thief Game, which I can only find one for 14 Keys. (15 if non-pure.))


Previous Trades (Within' the past month.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17942554 - Sold for Nuts and Bolt Wetworks (18 Keys - 1 Week Ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17849132 - Unsure on sold, but was asking 12 Keys quicksale. (1 Week Ago)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17609216 - Sold for 10 Keys Pure. (3 Weeks Ago)


How did I come up with the price range if it doesn't correlates to the sold prices?

Low (13 Keys): The 10 and 12 Keys were redeemed as somewhat quicksales by a few people. The 10 Key price is starting to out-date, while the 12 Key price is much recent. It wouldn't explain the 18-Key Unusual at all, so there needs to be some balance, so I went with the 13-Key sale.


High (15 Keys): The unusual is the reason why this price is settled in. The 3-month old price and the item overpay have to be settled in to determined the price. There's a current 17 Key item c/o on a different trade with a 16 b/o. (Source at bottom.) If bought out for 16 Keys or takes the item trade, it would correlate with the 15-key current sales.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18005958


But your current sales are so young...

I know. I know. However, there might be a trade later in the suggestion or after the suggestion, which the 13 and 15 Keys might help confirm the price. If I tried to do 10~18 or 12~18, then it has no water of standing on this website. So, I went for a median price of 13~15 Keys.


If you have any counter-evidence or proof to provide, then be my guest. The more, the merrier.

    No solds at what you suggested the range to be. Logic and reasoning is not proof in TF2 economy


    Downvote

      As I said, if I tried to go just by the sales, the range would be way too large and it wouldn't hold water on this website.


      What do you suggest? 12 to 16?

        I'd just wait for a third sale

          If one of the 13 or 15 sales goes off, then it would be within' the range. I'll just keep this open and wait for one of them to pop.

          I'll throw an update later in the thread if they do sell.

    ISSUES / UPDATE ON 3 OF YOUR LINKS:


    - " http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18104250 - Around 13 Keys. (2 Days)" Selling as a set or selling individual items - unclear


    - " http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18132124 - 15 Keys (1 Day Old)" SOLD 5 Hours prior to this


    " http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18137202 - 15 Keys (20 Hours - Looking for Thief Game, which I can only find one for 14 Keys. (15 if non-pure.))" Pure Item trade - A non-TF2 Item as well - not really the best of proof - supplementary? A fun fact?

      1st Link:

      Looks more like an individual trade, but it has a possibility to sell as a set. I did mention it on the basis of it listed as two separate items, but I understand your concern and where you're coming from. I threw that up there, because it has the option to be sold separately.


      2nd:

      Thank you for pointing that out. Even though all the sales has been technically 'quick sales' (excluding the strange), it does give leverage that it is selling within' the range now. I haven't seen really any of the trades asking for a bud or greater.


      3rd:

      I only threw that in, because they're looking for the game and the person selling wanted it for 15 Keys. If it does sell for equal value, then it could be considered as a trade. However, it looks like he closed it and reopened it for offers to be taken now. I won't speculate on what he might get, but we can convert that last link to an offer link now.

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18169702

      All trades below has been confirmed:

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18104250 - Sold as a Set. (Discontinue.)

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18132124 - 15 Keys (Sold within' 1 Day.)

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18169702 - 15 Keys (Sold within' 1 Day.)


      Updates:

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18135100 - Went down from 18 Keys to 15 Keys.