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I know this just updated, but it was mostly on B/Os. Here's the price based on sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17047871
DBD KE for DP TC + burning modest
(backpack history doesn't indicate anything else)
b: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198072605490?time=1392883200
a: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198072605490?time=1393056000
Price: 38 - 17.5 = 20.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17755241 sold for $750 cash = ~20-21 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16030526
Sold for Electro TC (4 month old price, was ~21, but current B/O is 20)
It's been offered(& declined) many times for a scorching modest (~21)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17812212
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13244326
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17492930
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17559191
It's been offered(& declined) many times for a scorching modest (~21)
Not as useful known sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18090152
Sold for Hellfire Headsplitter + Aces Bonk Boy both are unpriced
Aces BB can be bought for 4.5 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18102397
Headsplitter is 1:1 and I can't find any useful sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18065893
Offered for RA modest (old price and likely an outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17472415 bought for $500 cash as a quicksell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17887441 (duped)
sold for PE snaggle, RA robo bicorne + KS bear
Bear is 1:1 and the guy that has it now wants 30 buds. lol. The other 2 hats would be 15 using b/os. A burning bear sold for like 9 i think, so take that however you wish.
So the last suggestion was primarily based on B/Os . To me, the price appears it should be 20-21 based on the 4 "known value" data points above.
Proof looks good. upvote
I'm curious where you got that a Burning Modest is 17.5?
Also, the Hellfire Headsplitter has a c/o of a Sulpherous Gibus, which is around 25-30 buds.
19.5*0.9 = 17.5
Sulph F2P is a 9 month old price.
Why multiply by 0.9 on the modest? Also, go look at outpost and look into the offers on the Sulpherous Gibus, it is around 25-30 buds. I'm not just blindly using the price here.
The modest is a mass duped one. If i used the avg price, it would overvalue the modest and decrease the price of the TC. Just being conservative.
Well if you can do a PC on the gibus that passes and then suggest on the headsplitter that passes, I will gladly consider it. Right now we got to work with what we got. Using a tangential 1:1 hat to set the price on this when we have other sales data isn't really needed.
I bought mine ($750) as a quicksell. The Hellfire Headsplitter received a $1000 offer early January (little old but definitely notable). That would make that sale around 32 buds.
I've been offered a cloud 9 tc + 1 pure (25+ or so despite outdated price on the cloud 9 tc). I can't disprove the low value unusual trades but I've managed to get offers over this range somehow.
This hat gets dropped as hell. 2 hours ago, since the last drop :/
well Trouble_... if it gets dropped, then there might be a reason for it?. thats why people needs to find proves.
Errr... Duh? I already knew that. I might speak, that this hat gets dropped alot, because of the sales/buys.
dat consecutive drop :v
Don't laugh at my bear. I sold it for a KaW crones >:(
Also - easy upvote. Shit hat, shit effect.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17025681 - Check out my comment: He sold for ~ 19
Thanks!
Nice, thanks for sharing this. If I can recall that one is duped though.
Oh. I was going to take it before I realised how inflated the price was.
Yeah, I wouldn't buy it either. It is confirmation of this range though. If it was 25-30 a QS would be 20, not 16.
So update:
http://backpack.tf/item/2345242000 Jadmaster and caribou just 1:1 sulph gibus
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198063359239?time=1392969600
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198063359239?time=1393056000
Last Gibus sale was Electro Tyro, Ghost ketche, stormy slug, TF snaggle, TF toque, TF fez, GF rag, DP belgium this stuff is less than 20 buds
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198110680534?time=1387958400
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198110680534?time=1388304000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16490445
and
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17025681 - Check out my comment: He sold for ~ 19
TrB | KyleR [Yule] · posted 9 days ago · Score: 0
Not sure what's taking so long, if anything this is a conservative drop it appears.