Yeah, yeah, I know - two subsequent price raises in a week. However, it's absolutely clear now that there is no way anyone is buying one of these at 13.5, and I've got a new sale.

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198070689698?time=1392969600

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198070689698?time=1393056000

Yesterday, Vestige sold his for a clean Vivid Modest (8.25), a clean Sulphurous Titanium Towering Pillar (priced at 7.5 four months ago but a hard sell, he's trying to QS for 5), and a duped Lantern Bonk Boy (7.3, but duped. I'm told last owner bought for 5 pure, but due to the long and colorful history I don't think I'll be able to actually find it).

Taking the most conservative estimates on each hat (half-price for the bonk boy and 5 on the tower), the hat sold for 8.25 + 5 + 3.5 in unusuals, or 16.75 buds.

Going further, there were several other sales this week, none anywhere even close to 13.5:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17770151 - Sold for a HOUWAR, Hearts Slug, and Ghosts Softcap, which converted via quicksales to 15 buds, 15 keys or 15.75 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7812567 - Sold (to me) for 15 pure. http://imgur.com/3VSpihg is a screenshot of the trade offer.