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Time to price this thing
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17738439 SOLD for 8 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17557331 SOLD for 8 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17953436 SOLD for 11~ including paint
These are the most recent sales i can provide proof for
Sufficent proof. But what paint?
White paint on the flops, purple on the 42.
Yeah, it does seem like 11 is an outlier.
Oh and also, both 8 key solds are more than a month old - that's quite a bit too old considering how collector's items have fallen lately.
Both 8's are at a month or under, first at 2 weeks, second at 4 weeks.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18195376
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18064016
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18036863
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18036863
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18185720
Every single one of these has an untaken buyout of 10. 11 is an item overpay outlier. Downvote. Also a bit confused as of why you have 3 of these, but hey, it's your life
Listed the same trade twice by the way
you're right, sorry removed the double one. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18125255 this one however wants a 10.5 item (s. pan) so still below 11. 11 still is an outlier, downvote remains
Buyouts aside, sales are the only relevant proof for such a young and unpriced item.
No they're not. When plenty of open, untaken buyouts are given one sold, especially in items, for above the price does not matter
If buyouts matter do you want me to include this guy selling at 14?
Buyouts in general don't matter. People having buyouts below the high end of your range do
In your comment you listed multiple trades who's buyouts are in the range...
Buyout does matter in some ways. It won't be counted as a sale, but if you are trying to price a rare item (Unusuals, Collectors, etc.), you must know about the Buyouts to to determinate your high-end.
Example: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/530c7a524dd7b87f478b4568
-Vox first suggested 61-80 buds, which was a super huge range. However, after Woifi noticed that there's a Buyout of 70 buds on the Market, he told Vox to suggest 61-70 buds, because 80 buds is definitely an outlier if there's a buyout of 70 buds.
And by the way, the proof that Puddingkip showed:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18185720
-Sold for Uncraftable Flip-Flops + Uncraftable Lucky No. 42 ~11 Keys.
Not really sure about this one.
Remaining Neutral.
So in your personal opinion, if i added the buyouts of other trades to the proof, would 8-10 be a more reasonable range?
Can't reply your comment because it's running out of space.
I don't think adding Buyouts would help. Two sales which can establish the price will do. Where does 10 keys comes from by the way? If it comes from the Buyout, I don't think the suggestion will be accepted.
I've seen those, not many of these sell. Three is all the sales i could find.
finally this weapon gets bit loved~
just explored TF2OP a bit, the sellers/buyers mostly stated the price on 11-14 keys.
stayin neutral for now
Again, sales are way more important.
I have to agree with other commenters; a lot can happen in 2 weeks, especially since collector items have been dropping in hype and price rapidly.
The sales are a bit too old to be sure of, and the 11 seems like an outlier; with overpay, it would be closer to 9 or 10, and it's definitely too generous to include paint.
I think there should be more and more recent sales before we price this, to make sure that it isn't being mispriced