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Man, this hat hasn't been updated since I did it last summer. It seems that this hat has become more and more valuable since it was removed from the game. I tried to include every trade on outpost that I could find. If you don't agree with my range, please comment, I'm still kinda new at this.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17515362
Selling a bunch of other trophy belts, and this one seems to be getting the best offers.
B/O: 3 buds (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18082257)
C/O: 2 buds pure
Other offers: Dead Presidents Lord Cockswain's (1.8 after overpay)
Kill-a-Watt Birdcage (1.6 after overpay) + 2 keys + painted veil (1 key) Total: 1.8-1.9 buds (Rejected)
History:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15062388 (Asking for 3 buds, but no proof that it was sold for that (It probably wasn't, but this is all I can find for history in the last 6 months)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17595800
This guy is selling a lot of confetti, and he hasn't gotten any offers good enough for him in the past 3 weeks.
History:
Funnily enough, the guy he bought it from bought it from the guy in the first link, who bought it from the unboxer. No trades on outpost though.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12619746
This guy is looking for unusual offers, and claims to have turned down offers for 2 buds pure. He says he won't sell it unless he gets a super high overpay from a collector
B/O: n/a
C/O: won't accept anything over a bud, n/a
Offers: There are a lot of these
Circling Peace Sign Swagman's Swatter (1.9 after overpay, only 3 exist) + about a key in goodies, Total: 2 buds
30 keys (1.5 buds)
Steaming Hat Without a Name (0.9 buds after overpay)
Green Confetti Napper's Respite (1.4 buds after overpay) + 3 keys pure, Total: 1.6 buds
Terror Watt Katyusha (new hat, no real set price, so I ballparked about 2 buds based on other hats around the same value) + Weight Room Warmer (0.5 keys) + Aqua Flops (0.25 keys), Total: 2 buds
Electrostatic Vintage Merryweather (same as above, couldn't really find a good ballpark value, if someone knows please post in the comments)
Steaming Defiant Spartan (1.2 buds after overpay)
Nuts and Bolts Trophy Belt (16 keys after overpay) + Bill's (6 keys), Total: 1.1 buds
1 bud pure + Bill's (6 keys), Total: 1.3 buds
Some really rare chemistry set (not my field of expertise, if someone has any idea please post in the comments)
History: The guy he bought it from didn't use outpost, and this trade is from 7 months ago anyways
This is everything I could find on outpost. If you don't agree with my range, please post in the comments, because its not exactly my strong suit.
I think you need sales
Yeah, you need sales to update the prices now for the most part.
The new price looks about right to me. I have one and people have added me to buy it even though it's not posted anywhere for sale. I've been offered 1.5 pure without having it posted anywhere.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/ offers alone are not enough to make a suggestion