Updating again based on current B/Os. No sales since the last suggestion.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18075306 B/O 16, but says they would take 13.5 in the offers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18207390 B/O 15

The last change was based on the only recent sale for ~16. That person now is only asking 15 for it. I have also been offered this hat + 6 buds for my scorching modest which would confirm that owner values their hat at this range too.