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Sup, guys!
Need to rise this price cos it's not valid anymore.
Seems that 1 key price is pretty stable at the moment.
Proof below:
Classifieds:
Only one 1 key offer on classifieds
Outpost:
Basically, all sellers sell it for 1 key each, only 1 page on outpost.
1 key price:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11984187 - has adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9478379 - lots of adds, sold out, restocking
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18206449
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15713481 - lots of adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18270536 - a little bit young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14359792 - 2 offers of 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18047902
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15869490 - LOTS of adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11984187 - a few adds at 2 (!) key price
Quicksolds at the current price (5 ref):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18271214 - within 2 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18266341 - within 7 hours
http://www.trade.tf/trade/533183777 - within 12 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18261615 - within 14 hours, 7 views
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18249474 - within 1 day, 8 views lol
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18214699 - 6 ref price, 6 adds in 2 days
To sum up, 5 ref price is an obvious quicksale price. 1 key is a stable price at the moment.
Took me ages to find one for 5.33 for my shotty, too many at 1 key and it looks like a better price, upvote.
I dont think you can make it 1 key straight as 5 ref is still very acheiveable. instead resuggest with a range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820595 - An airbourne strange part shop selling for 5 ref (however it seems as if he has been offline for about a month)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18270498 - for "bp.tf price": or 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18214699 - 6 ref
So yes the price probably does need to go up as there is not that many sellers, but 5 ref is still achieveable
All but two of your 1 key sellers are incredibly old trades; while they do have "recent" adds, only two have adds within the last 3 days, and most are very old.
Sellers often change their prices, and this is not sufficient evidence to increase the price. While 5 ref does sell quickly, without buyers or more recent sellers, this is clearly too large a jump.
None of the 1 key price trades are closed so I don't think it's valid proof. Neutral for now.
Adds mean the demand of buyers to take it for that price. Perhaps, adds=solds. It's hard to track it, cos the sellers have many parts in stock.
I'm pretty sure the saying is adds =/= solds.
Seems legit and has enough proof