Hi everybody, R0B0FiSH here. This is my first unusual price suggestion but I hope that my suggestion is as accurate as possible. All proof is no older than 1 month at the time of this posting. As always, I value your feedback.

I've had this unusual for about 1 week now with no bites. New effects scare away people, especially when there's no pricing on them (I was unsure buying this unusual too). I've had my fair share of offers and research so I believe my proof will be relevant and accurate for this hat which is not priced yet.

Bought proof (from myself):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17408275 (no comments)

Screenshot: http://i.imgur.com/DtykMfW.jpg

I bought this hat (thinking it was worth 3 buds at the time) and a Professional Killstreak Sharp Dresser worth about 9-10 keys with a Blizzardy Storm Tough Guy's - He paid ~ 3+ buds worth of items for my 2.5 - 2.6 bud unusual

The user I bought it off:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18036504 - Had a B/O of 3 buds (no comments)

Current sellers (discluding myself):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18072716 - Taking offers (no bites yet)

* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17936104 - Looking for 3 buds (Had some item offers and one unpriced unusual offer possibly worth 2 buds +)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15987495 - Has a B/O of 3 buds (Has had a 0.8 bud unusual offer and one unpriced unusual offer)

Proof from other users who had the same unusual: (Please note this proof is not entirely accurate as it is not confirmed that they sold the unusual for the price they wanted)

* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17998316 - Positive "quicksell" for 2 buds as he dropped his prices from 3 buds from three different trades (no comments in all 3 trades involving the same unusual)

* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17979762 - Quite the quicksell at 25 keys (still no comments)

* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17922439 - 45 Strongbox keys (Strongbox keys were 1.15 keys at the time 2 weeks ago which indicates 45 Strongbox keys at the time ≈ 2.63 buds. Also no comments)

* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17536301 - 2 buds & 10 keys (no comments)

* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16817567 - 2.5 - 3 buds (Had a fair few amount of unusual offers ranging from 1.6 - 3.2 buds)

Other supporting proof: (Please note this is not my primary form of proof)

I took consideration of this hat's "predecessor" 'The Tough Guy's Toque.'

Current pricing for Disco Beatdown Tough Guy's Toque - 2.7 - 2.9 buds

The Tungsten Toque is a "robo hat" however, many of the same "generic" effects such as bubbling, orbiting planets are within similar pricing range.

As well as this similar priced hat with the disco beatdown effect: The Data Mining Light

http://backpack.tf/unusuals/Data%20Mining%20Light

This hat can also be a possible themed hat with suggestions such as a disco strobe light (note the lightbulb on the top of the hat)

Some interesting data using median pricing of keys and buds: (data collected from the links with the *)

1.28 buds, 2 buds, 2.63 buds, 2.51 buds, 2.75 buds, 3 buds

Median price for sellers selling the Disco Beat Down Tungsten Toque on outpost (discluding B/O's) = 2.57 buds or 50.11 keys. Of course 3 buds is pretty hard to ask for being in the data which is why...

...To conclude, I believe 2 - 2.8 buds for the Disco Beat Down Tungsten Toque is an accurate pricing for this new hat which fits in using the proof and data whilst also taking in account of other unusuals and effects. With experience, it's an unusual that people tend to stay away from as there's a chance this unusual can sell for a lot more or less than it's actually worth, but hopefully this pricing will change that. Thank you for your time. If there's anything that you believe that is inaccurate or tips on what I can improve in this or my future price suggestion, don't hesitate to tell me :)

EDIT: Proof of Professional Sharp Dresser selling for roughly 9 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/YiOYZbV.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/qYbhrvc.jpg